WTNT71 KNHC 100233
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU JUN 09 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT SUN JUN 12 2005
Code: Select all
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
25.0N 86.3W 41 2 X X 43 PENSACOLA FL X 8 12 1 21
27.7N 87.9W 2 31 X X 33 MOBILE AL X 9 14 1 24
30.5N 88.6W X 12 12 1 25 GULFPORT MS X 13 12 1 26
MUSN 216N 826W 19 X X X 19 BURAS LA X 20 6 1 27
MUHA 230N 824W 5 1 X X 6 NEW ORLEANS LA X 12 11 1 24
MUAN 219N 850W 75 X X X 75 NEW IBERIA LA X 4 10 2 16
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 3 3 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 3 3 6
SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3 GALVESTON TX X X 1 2 3
CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 85W X 5 6 1 12
TAMPA FL X X 1 1 2 GULF 29N 87W X 20 4 1 25
CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 3 4 GULF 28N 89W 1 28 1 X 30
ST MARKS FL X X 4 4 8 GULF 28N 91W X 11 5 1 17
APALACHICOLA FL X 2 7 3 12 GULF 28N 93W X 1 2 2 5
PANAMA CITY FL X 3 10 2 15COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
C FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
D FROM 8PM SAT TO 8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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