2 Am Intermediate Advisory

[Wnghs2007]

000
WTNT31 KNHC 090538
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT THU JUN 09 2005

...POORLY-ORGANIZED DEPRESSION CONTINUES SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION OVER
THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH IN WESTERN CUBA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE
83.9 WEST OR ABOUT 205 MILES... 335 KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND
CAYMAN AND ABOUT 285 MILES... 465 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE
WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH
... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH
SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY IN RAIN BANDS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. DURING THE
PAST FEW HOURS...NOAA BUOY 42056 REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 36 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED IS 1003 MB...29.62
INCHES.

HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY SQUALLS...IS SPREADING ACROSS THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND SHOULD SPREAD OVER WESTERN CUBA LATER TODAY..

MOISTURE FLOWING FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE DEPRESSION IS PRODUCING
VERY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...PARTICULARLY
NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...17.8 N... 83.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN


$$

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Yes the center is about 50 miles to the edge of that large area of convection. This baby is trying to wrap. By 5am we will have a totally different system. This baby is forming some killer convection on its eastern quad. The LLC is becoming bettter defined.