Local met in Pensacola

[CFL]

Just showed the Pensacola area right in the center of the cone. He says to expect tropical storm force conditions Saturday night.

[Droop12]

Little early to be saying that, but Im pretty sure no matter what happens it'll be a wet weekend, hopefully I'll be able to take off Saturday Nite.

[iceangel]

000
WTNT71 KNHC 082102
SPFAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED JUN 08 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2005

Code: Select all

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

19.9N  84.3W      38  1  X  X 39   TAMPA FL           X  X  1  5  6
22.2N  85.1W       5 25  1  X 31   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  6  6
24.5N  86.3W       X 13 11  1 25   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  7  7
MWCG 193N 814W     7  3  1  X 11   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  1  9 10
MUCF 221N 805W     X  1  X  1  2   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1  9 10
MUSN 216N 826W     3 14  X  1 18   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  1 10 11
MUHA 230N 824W     X  7  4  1 12   MOBILE AL          X  X  1 10 11
MUAN 219N 850W     8 24  X  X 32   GULFPORT MS        X  X  1 11 12
MMCZ 205N 869W     9  9  1  X 19   BURAS LA           X  X  2 12 14
MHNJ 165N 859W     6  X  X  X  6   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  1 11 12
MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  1  3  4   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X 10 10
MARATHON FL        X  X  1  3  4   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  6  6
MIAMI FL           X  X  X  2  2   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  5  5
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  2  2   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  4  4
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  3  3
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  2  9 11
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  4 10 14
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  6 10 16
KEY WEST FL        X  X  3  3  6   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  2 11 13
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  1  4  5   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  8  8
FT MYERS FL        X  X  1  4  5   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  5  5
VENICE FL          X  X  1  6  7   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA

$$

[Amanzi]

Anyone else notice how "bad" weather tends to visit on a weekend???

[Brent]

Anyone else notice how "bad" weather tends to visit on a weekend???

Not only that... but Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne all made landfall in the middle of the night. Frances and Jeanne on Late Saturday/Early Sunday

[AL Chili Pepper]

Anyone else notice how "bad" weather tends to visit on a weekend???

Not only that... but Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne all made landfall in the middle of the night. Frances and Jeanne on Late Saturday/Early Sunday

Yeah, I noticed that. It seems that all the real noise-makers that come this way get here at night....Frederic, Georges, Ivan, even Camille. That might be a good thing. I don't know how I'd react to seeing all my trees snap.

[baygirl_1]

Our local (WKRG--Mobile, AL) news reported that Mobile County is planning to man the Emergency Operations Center this weekend. Also, Dr. Bill Williams of the Coastal Weather Research Center was on and said that he thought it COULD affect us on the Northern Gulf this weekend, but it is still too early to know for sure. The proverbial "wait and see." That kind of goes without saying right now, doesn't it?

[tdg32561]

I just came from Pensacola Beach and I don't believe they can even handle a tropical storm at the moment or perdido key for that matter. Drove over to orange beach this past Saturday and I must say Alabama has done a much better job of cleaning up the piles of debris than Escambia county Florida.

[TampaFl]

[Brent]

and I must say Alabama has done a much better job of cleaning up the piles of debris than Escambia county Florida.

Maybe they "piled" it up in Florida...

[tracyswfla]

and I must say Alabama has done a much better job of cleaning up the piles of debris than Escambia county Florida.

Maybe they "piled" it up in Florida...

[alicia-w]

the weather guys in pensacola very seldom have an original thought regarding weather, particularly storms. they must have heard someone say it or read it somewhere.

[tdg32561]

and I must say Alabama has done a much better job of cleaning up the piles of debris than Escambia county Florida.

Maybe they "piled" it up in Florida...

Yea I bet that's it

[DoctorHurricane2003]

Speaking of which.....if this gets strong at all "Sand Mountain" is going to go everywhere!

[jabber]

Anyone else notice how "bad" weather tends to visit on a weekend???

And at night

[vespersparrow]

and I must say Alabama has done a much better job of cleaning up the piles of debris than Escambia county Florida.

Maybe they "piled" it up in Florida...

[Droop12]

Isnt it Channel 3 (Pensacola) that uses Accuweather for their forecast? Thats just pathetic. They use the maps and everything. I dont pay much attention to their forecast.

[crazycajuncane]

I just came from Pensacola Beach and I don't believe they can even handle a tropical storm at the moment or perdido key for that matter. Drove over to orange beach this past Saturday and I must say Alabama has done a much better job of cleaning up the piles of debris than Escambia county Florida.

Hey man!

I just came from Perdido Key myself. I rode through Gulf Shores... Orange Beach.... wow. The amount of damage is just amazing, BUT cross the state line and there is nothing but trash lined up on the roads in Florida. We actually spoke to over 20 different people about Ivan while we were there and we found out that FEMA stopped in the aid of clearing the trash in Florida. I wish I had a picture. Alabama is cleaned up and FLorida has piles and piles of concrete and trash. Escambia county looks like a war zone.

And they don't need any rain.... Tropical Storm or anything in that area. They need help.

[Radar]

Ok, what did you all do in Pensacola to make Mother Nature so mad at you? Although I really dont want any tropical system I wouldnt mind taking this punch for you panhandlers!!! My thoughts are with you all in AL/FL as you brace for another blow. Hopefully, if the track doesnt change by this weekend all it will be is a T.S. There seems to be enough dry air to keep this system from blowing up and developing rapidly, I will keep my fingers crossed and hope mother nature doesnt throw any curve balls.....

[baygirl_1]

Hey man!

I just came from Perdido Key myself. I rode through Gulf Shores... Orange Beach.... wow. The amount of damage is just amazing, BUT cross the state line and there is nothing but trash lined up on the roads in Florida. We actually spoke to over 20 different people about Ivan while we were there and we found out that FEMA stopped in the aid of clearing the trash in Florida. I wish I had a picture. Alabama is cleaned up and FLorida has piles and piles of concrete and trash. Escambia county looks like a war zone.

And they don't need any rain.... Tropical Storm or anything in that area. They need help.

Yes, crazycajuncane, we've been hearing about that. The head of Alabama's emergency management agency (or one of those agencies involved with clean-up) worked for the feds at one time and knew all the hurdles for FEMA. Therefore, Alabama cities and counties were told when and how to apply for FEMA clean-up funds. According to what we've heard on the news, the Florida cities and counties were not aware of those FEMA regulations and, therefore, didn't receive the assistance. Not a good situation.