1800z Models=Ship and Dshp increasing intensity

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cycloneye
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1800z Models=Ship and Dshp increasing intensity

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 08, 2005 2:05 pm

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL902005) ON 20050608 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050608 1800 050609 0600 050609 1800 050610 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 16.8N 84.0W 18.6N 84.3W 20.8N 85.1W 23.2N 86.1W
BAMM 16.8N 84.0W 18.3N 84.4W 20.1N 85.1W 22.1N 85.8W
A98E 16.8N 84.0W 17.7N 84.1W 19.0N 84.2W 20.6N 84.1W
LBAR 16.8N 84.0W 17.9N 84.1W 19.7N 84.7W 21.9N 85.7W
SHIP 25KTS 31KTS 38KTS 44KTS
DSHP 25KTS 31KTS 38KTS 44KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050610 1800 050611 1800 050612 1800 050613 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 25.6N 87.3W 30.4N 89.2W 35.7N 88.7W 39.8N 83.8W
BAMM 24.4N 86.6W 28.8N 87.9W 32.4N 88.4W 34.7N 88.7W
A98E 22.6N 84.5W 25.5N 85.8W 28.5N 86.2W 30.5N 86.1W
LBAR 24.0N 86.4W 27.8N 86.8W 30.2N 86.4W 31.5N 85.9W
SHIP 48KTS 51KTS 43KTS 28KTS
DSHP 48KTS 51KTS 32KTS 27KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 16.8N LONCUR = 84.0W DIRCUR = 0DEG SPDCUR = 4KT
LATM12 = 16.2N LONM12 = 84.0W DIRM12 = 49DEG SPDM12 = 4KT
LATM24 = 16.0N LONM24 = 85.0W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW


I haved noticed that ship and dshp are increasing the intensity from the low 30kts in earlier runs to now 51kts.The models dont have it as a TD this afternoon.But recon will be there soon and the last word will come from them.
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