SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Scott_inVA
Storm2k Forecaster
Storm2k Forecaster
Posts: 1238
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 5:44 pm
Location: Lexington, Virginia
Contact:
Contact Scott_inVA

SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

#1 Postby Scott_inVA » Sat May 24, 2003 3:53 pm

000
Winds above SFC make this a no go...but fun to have something out there.

Scott


WONT41 KNHC 242034
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS/TPC NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT MAY 24 2002

A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND VERY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF JAMAICA...EASTERN CUBA AND ADJACENT WATERS.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD OVER EASTERN CUBA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION.

FORECASTER AVILA
0 likes   
Top
Rainband

#2 Postby Rainband » Sat May 24, 2003 3:57 pm

Thanks for the information!!! I saw the shear forecast yesterday and the pattern seems to be stubborn..but things can change fast in the tropics.. but very unlikely :wink: From the consensus :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9620
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Not a state-caster

#3 Postby Steve » Sat May 24, 2003 4:29 pm

It's about 4:30 central time. If you read this near 4:30, go check out the Goes 8 IR and run a loop. It sure has been a long time since we've seen a blob like that out there - development potential or not. We're gettin' close folks.

Steve
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mf_dolphin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 17758
Age: 68
Joined: Tue Oct 08, 2002 2:05 pm
Location: St Petersburg, FL
Contact:
Contact mf_dolphin

#4 Postby mf_dolphin » Sat May 24, 2003 4:36 pm

This is a real tease for sure :-)
0 likes   
Top
ColdFront77

#5 Postby ColdFront77 » Sat May 24, 2003 6:35 pm

Yes indeed, Steve... We are getting close. The area of convection is impressive in itself, but not in counterclockwise circulation because of the shear in the region.
0 likes   
Top
chadtm80

#6 Postby chadtm80 » Sat May 24, 2003 7:29 pm

http://www.storm2k.org/Weather-Central/ ... ellite.htm
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 24 guests