Meanwhile in the Western Pacific...

[Aslkahuna]

we have Tropical Storm TS04W (Chan-Hom) which is located 140 NW of Chuuk with winds of 55kt. The storm is expected to move northward east of the Marianas and intensify to 125kt over the next 72 hours. Air Force Recon is flying the storm. I was off line the past 5 days which is why I haven't posted on this sooner.

Steve

[weatherlover427]

Thanks for the info. 125 kt = 145 mph approx. FYI.

[Aslkahuna]

is now located 380 ESE of Guam with winds of 65kt and is moving N at 8kt. The storm is expected to continue on the NNW-N heading and peak at 115kt in 48 hours before it begins to weaken as it gains latitude.

Steve

[chadtm80]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... rgms5n.GIF

[weatherlover427]

Looks quite nice on that image.

[Aslkahuna]

is located 380 ENE of Guam with winds of 85kt. The storm is moving NNW at 7kt and is expected to move on a NNW-N track and peak at 100kt over the next 24-36 hours before weakening as it gains latitude and turns NNE.

Steve

[weatherlover427]

Thanks for the updates as always Steve. They are very informative.

[cycloneye]

This time Guam didn't get a landfalling typhoon as they haved suffered in past years.

[weatherlover427]

Which is a good thing, obviously.

[Aslkahuna]

Typhoon TY04W (Chan-Hom) is now located 470 NE of Guam and is moving N at 9kt. The storm has peaked at 115kt and is expected to weaken and accelerate NE as it becomes extratropical within 72 hours. The satellite imagery shows a dry air intrusion into the storm is now taking place.

Steve

[Aslkahuna]

Typhoon TY04W (Chan-Hom) is located 690 W of Wake Island with winds of 115kt and is moving NE at 16kt. The storm is expected to accelerate NE and become extratropical in 36hours. Changes in the internal structure of the storm plus clear indications that cooler and drier air are entraining into the system suggests that the transition into an ET system is already underway.

Tropical Depression TD05W has formed 90W of San Fernando La Union on the west coast of Luzon in the Philippines. The system is drifting NNW and is expected to turn towards Luzon and intensify to 50kt before landfalling in 48 hours. The storm has formed on the northern periphery of a straight line Monsoon Surge (a common mode of formation in the SCS early in the season) and its motion and development will be tied to the evolution of the Surge. Most of the heavy rains and squalls will occur south of the center.

Steve

[Aslkahuna]

(TS05W) is located about 60 NM NNW of Iba on the west coast of Luzon in the Philippines with winds of 45kt. The storm is nearly stationary and is expected to intensify to 65kt as it turns eastward and heads towards landfall 40 NM north of Iba in 24-36 hours. The storm will weaken drastically as it cuts across the rugged terrain of northern Luzon and then reintensify again after coasting out north of Baler in about 60 hours. The development of the storm in such a location and the track as well as the proximity of the associated monsoon surge raises the spectre of some really serious flooding in Central and northern Luzon as well as Manila. Mudflows are also likely in the Pinatubo Lahar Zone in Central and western Luzon. Strong winds will be confined to immediate coastal areas of Western Luzon and Manila Bay.

Typhoon TY04W (Chan-Hom) is located 690 NNW of Wake Island with winds of 65kt and is moving NNE at 17kt. The storm is in the final stages of becoming an extratropical system and is expected to be fully ET within 12 hours as it accelerates NE.

Steve

[Aslkahuna]

has become extratropical and has been finalled out.

Tropical Storm TS05W (Linfa) has made landfall near Dagupan on the west coast of Luzon in the Philippines. Latest satellite imagery shows that the LLCC is reforming on the east side of the island which is supported by synoptic data which shows the lowest pressure (992 hPa) is at Baler on the east coast of the island. Heavy rains have been falling over Luzon and flooding is likely from Manila north. Strongest winds gusted over 50mph on the west coast of Luzon at Subic and Iba. Linfa is expected to reintensify after it coasts out near Baler and is expected to be at 85kt in 72 hours.

Steve

[Aslkahuna]

TD05W (Linfa) is located 48 ENE of Casiguran on Luzon's east coast with winds of 25kt. The system is moving ENE at 6kt. The satellite imagery suggests that the original LLCC is dissipating while a new one is forming
further north (a common enough occurrence for storms crossing Luzon). The northern center is expected to consolidate and head NE intensifying to 60kt over the next 72 hours.

Steve

[Aslkahuna]

is located 250 SSW of Naha, Okinawa with winds of 30kt. The system is moving NNE at 11kt and is expected to pass just east of Okinawa in about 24 hours with winds of 40kt. It is expected to weaken as it approaches and crosses the Japanese Home Islands and become ET within 72 hours.

Steve

[Aslkahuna]

Linfa's passage across Luzon resulted in significant flooding and some wind damage. Additionally, three tornadoes spawned by the storm caused damage on Luzon.

Steve

[Aslkahuna]

is located 140 ESE of Naha, Okinawa with winds of 55kt. The storm is moving NE at 16kt and is expected to continue moving NE and become extratropical in 36 hours. The latest satellite imagery shows that dry air is entraining into the storm.

Steve

[Aslkahuna]

has become ET and has been finalled out.

Steve

[chadtm80]

Lights out!

[Aslkahuna]

Tropical Depression TD06W which is forming not far from where Linfa did and under similar circumstances. We'll be following this one now-but probably with a different thread.

Steve