Question About El-Nino

[EDR1222]

Just wanted to pose this question to anyone who wants to answer. I am not by any means an expert on El-Nino, but I have noticed there have been more west to east moving cold fronts crossing through Central Florida during the past month or so with severe weather along with them. Seems like a little more than usual for March. I remember this happening during and El-Nino that took place in 1997 I believe or mabe the first part of 1998, I can't recall exactly. I know one of those years there was a pretty signifcant El-Nino that was partly responsible for the severe weather. We did have alot of strong fronts with severe weather crossing the state during that time and I wonder if this has anything to do with a developing El-Nino, or if it is not related at all.

Just wondering if this is accurate.

Thanks in advance,

Ed

[HurricaneBill]

Just wanted to pose this question to anyone who wants to answer. I am not by any means an expert on El-Nino, but I have noticed there have been more west to east moving cold fronts crossing through Central Florida during the past month or so with severe weather along with them. Seems like a little more than usual for March. I remember this happening during and El-Nino that took place in 1997 I believe or mabe the first part of 1998, I can't recall exactly. I know one of those years there was a pretty signifcant El-Nino that was partly responsible for the severe weather. We did have alot of strong fronts with severe weather crossing the state during that time and I wonder if this has anything to do with a developing El-Nino, or if it is not related at all.

Just wondering if this is accurate.

Thanks in advance,

Ed

I think it might be on the tail-end of the latest El Nino.

The 1998 Tornado Outbreak in Florida was on the tail-end of the 1997-1998 El Nino.

[DS]

It could also be an El Nino effect in coincidence with a consistently neutral to negative NAO. The negative NAO becomes a lot more important during March and April, because cold and warm air mass clashes are at their peak. So, if a negative NAO implies East Coast amplification, coupled with an active southern stream, this could be a reason for the recent strong fronts in Florida.

[StormChasr]

I am probably the only one on this entire board who calls for an El Nino this hurricane season, but I think the tepid Pac temps show that it is a distinct possibility. Also, everybody is dismissing the cool temps around Florida as something that will change in the summer. As for me, I feel there will be a moderate El Nino, and an average to below average hurricane season. That's why I went for 11/5/2.

[The Big Dog]

I am probably the only one on this entire board who calls for an El Nino this hurricane season

No, you're not the only one. I think it's about 50/50, myself. You're just getting drowned out by those out there who want to see 25 storms in the Atlantic basin.

[StormChasr]

I know. Just hoping for a quieter year in Florida this year. If there were 25 fish, that wouldn't be a problem.

[The Big Dog]

I hear ya. I'm -removed- for 0/0/0, but I guess 25 fish would be ok, too. Plus, we would get to see what happens when they get past W.

[StormChasr]

I hear ya. I'm -removed- for 0/0/0, but I guess 25 fish would be ok, too. Plus, we would get to see what happens when they get past W.

Don' they go to the Greek Alphabet? Hurricane Alpha,etc?? Hope they don't get to hurricane Sigma, or Epsilon.