8 PM Discussion about 96L=Time is running out to be tropical

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cycloneye
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8 PM Discussion about 96L=Time is running out to be tropical

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 09, 2004 7:05 pm

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A DEEPENING 1005 MB LOW IS CENTERED ABOUT 135 NM SSE OF BERMUDA
NEAR 30N64W WITH A SFC TROF EXTENDING EWD TO 31N57W 28N53W...AND
A SECOND DETACHED TROF FARTHER S ALONG 27N59W 22N69W. THE LOW
HAS SOME SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS BUT IT IS LACKING THE RIGHT
UPPER LEVEL STRUCTURE TO BE DEEMED SO AT THIS TIME. THE SFC
CIRCULATION IS OFFSET TO THE NE OF THE ASSOCIATED UPPER
LOW...PUTTING IT IN THE DIVERGENT SIDE OF THE UPPER TROF.
NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALIGNED ALONG A BAND TO THE N OF
THE LOW FROM 31N-35N BETWEEN 60W-67W AND IS CURRENTLY MOVING
ACROSS BERMUDA WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GALE FORCE WINDS.
CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO IMPROVE DURING THE NIGHT BUT THEN A
SECOND ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN COULD MOVE BACK ACROSS THE ISLAND
LATE TOMORROW AS THE UPPER TROF SHIFTS E. THERE IS STILL THE
POTENTIAL FOR SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM
WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HRS...BUT IF A FRONTAL STRUCTURE BEGINS TO
DEVELOP AS IT MOVES N THEN IT WOULD BE CLASSIFIED AS A
BAROCLINIC EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE.
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#2 Postby lilbump3000 » Sat Oct 09, 2004 7:08 pm

Well so much for that system. Seems like lisa may have to wait a little longer.
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#3 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Oct 09, 2004 7:11 pm

lilbump3000 wrote:Well so much for that system. Seems like lisa may have to wait a little longer.


Do you mean, Nicole?
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#4 Postby lilbump3000 » Sat Oct 09, 2004 7:12 pm

yeh i meant nicole. lisa just was in my head at the time.
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 09, 2004 7:41 pm

This may be classified subtropical storm Nicole instead of tropical storm Nicole but we will know at 11 PM.
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#6 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Oct 09, 2004 7:46 pm

cycloneye wrote:This may be classified subtropical storm Nicole instead of tropical storm Nicole but we will know at 11 PM.


100% in agreement. This system may have characteristics of a subtropical low, but at this moment it doesn't show any characteristic of being tropical.
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