12:00 UTC model suite for 96L

[cycloneye]

Code: Select all

  TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST     (AL962004) ON 20041009  1200 UTC

          ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
          041009  1200   041010  0000   041010  1200   041011  0000

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    29.0N  61.8W   31.8N  63.3W   34.0N  64.4W   36.5N  63.6W
  BAMM    29.0N  61.8W   30.8N  63.6W   32.7N  65.4W   34.8N  65.5W
  A98E    29.0N  61.8W   30.5N  63.6W   32.6N  64.6W   36.2N  62.9W
  LBAR    29.0N  61.8W   31.0N  62.6W   32.9N  62.9W   34.9N  62.1W
  SHIP        25KTS          32KTS          42KTS          49KTS
  DSHP        25KTS          32KTS          42KTS          49KTS

          ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
          041011  1200   041012  1200   041013  1200   041014  1200

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    40.5N  61.5W   47.7N  61.8W   52.0N  58.9W   58.1N  43.5W
  BAMM    37.6N  63.2W   42.8N  61.1W   47.2N  55.5W   53.8N  44.5W
  A98E    41.0N  60.8W   48.0N  61.6W   52.8N  57.5W   63.9N  20.1W
  LBAR    37.1N  59.9W   44.5N  52.9W   51.5N  48.7W     .0N    .0W
  SHIP        55KTS          62KTS          65KTS          58KTS
  DSHP        55KTS          62KTS          65KTS          42KTS

               ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
  LATCUR =  29.0N LONCUR =  61.8W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR =  11KT
  LATM12 =  27.8N LONM12 =  60.0W DIRM12 = 302DEG SPDM12 =  12KT
  LATM24 =  26.8N LONM24 =  57.7W
  WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   25NM WNDM12 =   25KT
  CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
  RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM


[hiflyer]

As with all islands Saturday is the big day at the airport.....at Bermuda the airport runway is oriented 12-30 ie one way down it is 120 degrees and the other way is 300. There is only the one runway for the entire island....no second airport no second runway. As a result aircraft flying to BDA have to carry enough fuel to fly to the island...hold for 30 mins....and fly to the nearest open airport which is normally Wilmington North Carolina without refueling. Today could see a lot of that as 96l brings gale force winds to the island right now at 060 degrees at 22kts gusting 35kts...which will be close to if not exceeding commericial jets crosswind capability.
http://www.weather.bm/radar.asp
http://www.weather.bm/webcam.html
http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/fin ... ?query=bda
and see if they make it in at
http://www.bermudaairport.com/go/bermud ... fault.aspx