What level wind do you bet Orlando will actually get?

anjou · #1 Postby **anjou** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 9:55 pm

A local met was saying 70mph... but with warming, possibility of speed increase, etc., what's your 'reasonable range' as to wind speed for Orlando?

djti · #2 Postby **djti** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 9:56 pm

with current track....being on west side of storm...id say 50mph sustained.

#3 Postby **tronbunny** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:01 pm

not ready to say west side of storm yet..
latest NGM, ETA are going way south.

yoda · #4 Postby **yoda** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:02 pm

tronbunny wrote:not ready to say west side of storm yet..
latest NGM, ETA are going way south.

IMO, never use the NGM and ETA as trop models.. but I am not a met.

Ixolib · #5 Postby **Ixolib** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:03 pm

Based on history thus far this season, Jeanne may not even come close to Orlando.....

djti · #6 Postby **djti** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:03 pm

ukmet and gfdl consensus..this close in.....good bet.

would put very little stock in ngm,eta......yoda says the force is not with them.

Sean in New Orleans · #7 Postby **Sean in New Orleans** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:10 pm

I would hold off worrying, as of now....storms are crazy this year. You may get nothing at all. Don't count on a storm, but, don't "not" count on one either. As I posted on another thread, a local met here in New Orleans just told anybody who has plans to go to Disney this weekend to not change them as he doesn't think it's going to hit Florida..that it will turn first.

djti · #8 Postby **djti** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:13 pm

the models have performed fairly well this side of 3 days.....and seemed to have converged on a solution.....that solution has orlando a very windy and rainy place on saturday night...

any local mediamet who discounts that and blabbers stuff about "head to DisneyWorld...no problems there" is an idiot.

Sean in New Orleans · #9 Postby **Sean in New Orleans** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:17 pm

LOL...Breck is no idiot, but, he wouldn't care if you said he was anyway....

djti · #10 Postby **djti** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:19 pm

maybe not an idiot....but an idiotic statement

ive heard a couple from him this hurricane season.

anjou · #11 Postby **anjou** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:22 pm

Thanks, DJTI and all... I well know there are no definites yet, but it's helpful to hear informed opinion for prep purposes... folks in Orlando had to cope with a LOT from Charley way back when, for as far inland as they are and as not-strong as the hurricane was supposedly going to be at one point.

What level wind do you bet Orlando will actually get?

What level wind do you bet Orlando will actually get?

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