Run your own computer model...

[orion]

If you are interested in running a model on your home computer and if you have Excel, you can go to:

http://www.me.utexas.edu/~jensen/ORMM/c ... hurricane/

and download an excel workbook that lets you input lat/long, view the track, create a forecast track, and do an error analysis. This is a purely statistical model, but it is fun to run and compare with the other models.

The model uses historical hurricane data and a different set of equations depending on the current lattitude of the hurricane.

Here is where you input the data:


And here are some of the outputs you get...
the track and forecast track:


calculate the error:


Thought there may be some of you here interested... enjoy!

~Jeff

[lilbump3000]

I like that i will do that.

[cvalkan4]

Does sound like fun.

If it uses historical hurricane data, isn't that climatology?

[Windy]

Yeah. He must have meant "no physics".

Now, if you can get the AVN to run on my Pentium III....

[orion]

Oops... sorry, you're right. It is purely statistical.

There is also some interesting reading on the site about the evolution of the statistical model and what they are looking at for the future.

And... just fyi, i had it forecast with the latest Jeanne coordinates... it has it heading to central coast of SC.

~Jeff