TD Jeanne likely FISH ...
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- Stormtrack03
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TD Jeanne likely FISH ...
... according to the NHC 5 PM Discussion:
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at200411.disc.html
Comments welcome.
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at200411.disc.html
Comments welcome.
Last edited by Stormtrack03 on Fri Sep 17, 2004 3:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Matthew5
- Stormtrack03
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Re: TD Jeanne likely FISH ...
Stormtrack03 wrote:... according to the NHC 5 PM Discussion:
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/index.php
Comments welcome.
What part of the Index are you posting to?
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dennis1x1
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- Stormtrack03
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- Stormtrack03
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- Stormtrack03
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No. They are saying we don't know. That track is a classic middle of the road track due to the huge spread...Jeanne could go anywhere and not completely bust that forecast track.
MW
MW
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Updating on the twitter now: http://www.twitter.com/@watkinstrack
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dennis1x1
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MannyG
Read the discussion and I think the NHC is giving up on 5 day forecast for right now. Love it when they said "The UKMET and NOGAPS show a slow westward drift for 4 and 5 days while the GFDL and GFS show a northeast or eastward motion." only to leave it at the same spot for 3 days.
Translation, we don't know which models to believe so we are going to leave it at 29.0 N 75.0 W at the 72, 96, and 120 hour mark. We are tired and exhausted from the last few weeks and are gonna take a rest, see what the models say a few hours from now and play rock, paper, scissors to decide whether we are going to move it east or west.
Translation, we don't know which models to believe so we are going to leave it at 29.0 N 75.0 W at the 72, 96, and 120 hour mark. We are tired and exhausted from the last few weeks and are gonna take a rest, see what the models say a few hours from now and play rock, paper, scissors to decide whether we are going to move it east or west.
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- Stormtrack03
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MortisFL wrote:Stormtrack...why do you constantly jump the gun on a system? Every advisory is changing, plus don't look out 5 days to make a prediction.
I'm not jumping the gun. I said its likely a fish at this point, theres always the possibility that bc of 4 - 5 day track errors it can head back to the east coast, but just as of analyzing what i see right now thats what i think, it still may change, no one should let their guard down.
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