Eye is Contracting

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LowMug

Eye is Contracting

#1 Postby LowMug » Mon Sep 13, 2004 8:31 pm

The last few frames show the eyewall is contracting again which will be followed by another ERC...

Question:...Is it normal for a major hurricane to go through so many ERCs
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Scorpion

#2 Postby Scorpion » Mon Sep 13, 2004 8:33 pm

Another ERC? Wow. It looks like it will reach its maximum strength tonight, then weaken with ERC. After its in the gulf, shear should increase, and maybe Ivan won't be going back to Cat 5. But who knows? Its remained remarkably resilient.
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jj_frap
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
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#3 Postby jj_frap » Mon Sep 13, 2004 8:36 pm

Bad news.

I just read a forecast that has the GoM vertical shears decreasing...

http://www.nwhhc.com/atl092004forecast.html

"Therafter, some weakening is expected as some vertical shear in the Gulf of Mexico may disturb Ivan's circulation, however it does appear the shear may be decreasing based upon the UW CIMSS shear anlaysis, therfore Ivan is forecasted to be a very powerful major hurricane at U.S. landfall, which is expected within 48-72 hours. "

Incidentally, their grammar sucks.

However should have a semi colon rather than a comma before it.
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