Does anyone see Ivan hitting FL?

Website · #2 Postby **Brent** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:21 am

Outside of the Western Pahnandle(Pensacola to Destin), no.

golter · #3 Postby **golter** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:23 am

Pensacola is a strong possibility.

Pigsnibble · #4 Postby **Pigsnibble** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:33 am

Well I've resigned myself to watching Lat 24, Long 87 that appears to be where the models begin to differ on projected paths.

East of this...FL is likely to be impacted
West of this...western GOM..aka New Orleans
On Target...central GOM..Mobile

yoda · #5 Postby **yoda** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:34 am

I see Ivan hitting FL... mainly in the Panhandle, but close to Alabama.

Guest · #6 Postby **Guest** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:35 am

The NHC track appears to have been pushed more east as of the 11am advisory: http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html Maybe I'm wrong though, just going on memory.
...Jennifer...

#7 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:40 am

Jennifer, yes, that's more east. So often 'Canes do take a turn for the east in the N. GOM and this one is likely to do that, too, I think.

Website · #8 Postby **Brent** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:42 am

Yes... about 25-30 miles east. I'm actually a little surprised.

CFL · #9 Postby **CFL** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:46 am

Agreed - it's a little east. I don't know if that's good or bad for me. It's extremely close either way. This site has been such a blessing in a terrible time of worry.

SwampDawg · #10 Postby **SwampDawg** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:51 am

Is it just me or am i seeing the models shift west at night and east during the day?? Just curious...I could be a little crazy from storm gazing. :eek:

Aquawind · #11 Postby **Aquawind** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:53 am

Already on Miami Radar..Keys are in the system now..kinda..

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kamx.shtml

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/Maps/Florida.shtml

CFL · #12 Postby **CFL** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:54 am

Yes Swampdog, and I'm assuming it's due to the NW movement Ivan is now making. The longer it went WNW the further west they assumed landfall would be.

SwampDawg · #13 Postby **SwampDawg** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:55 am

thanks

#14 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:55 am

It was supposed to turn NW two days ago. The forecast was for it to hit the Panhandle and has been for awhile now.

nolecaster · #15 Postby **nolecaster** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:57 am

Apalachicola is definitely not out of it yet.

Website · #16 Postby **Brent** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 9:58 am

It's a huge system. Even if it follows the NHC track, all the way over to the Big Bend of Florida could recieve hurricane force winds.

Windtalker · #17 Postby **Windtalker** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 10:02 am

Ivan has not done anything the models predicted. It now seems like he wants to start his North movement (sooner than predicted and not a wide swing) If that front comes down deep into the gulf as predicted by Wednesday and if Ivan is still slow.....anything can happen.

wxwatcher2 · #18 Postby **wxwatcher2** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 10:34 am

Of course it will hit Florida......without a doubt in my mind.
Now "where" in Florida is another story yet to be written;

Josephine96 · #19 Postby **Josephine96** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 10:36 am

I also still think Florida.. the question is where

Stormtrack03 · #20 Postby **Stormtrack03** » Mon Sep 13, 2004 10:37 am

I do.

Does anyone see Ivan hitting FL?

Does anyone see Ivan hitting FL?

Don't count anything out yet !

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