Insight into S2k's favorite punching bag - A98E model

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logybogy

Insight into S2k's favorite punching bag - A98E model

#1 Postby logybogy » Fri Sep 10, 2004 9:26 am

Remember it is a "statistical" model. From what I understand, all it does is project paths based on previous historical tracks. It's basically pure climatology. It's "supposed" to give strange results sometimes.
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x-y-no
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#2 Postby x-y-no » Fri Sep 10, 2004 9:29 am

Ummm ... that doesn't account for things like repeatedly trying to send Frances south across Cuba into Nicaragua or Honduras. No storm in history has done anything of the kind, so where did those statistics come from?
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#3 Postby Cape Verde » Fri Sep 10, 2004 9:31 am

I'm not buying it, either. The A98E obviously is smoking crack.
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#4 Postby tronbunny » Fri Sep 10, 2004 9:36 am

I know it's statistical.
That's the point.
It's there to remind us that it still takes humans to plug in the numbers and analyze the output, with human instinct and experience.
I still love it!
I don't believe it's right, but I love it!
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