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In the last frames it seems like a more west motion 280 than 295 WNW but maybe it is a wobbleMoving due west than WNW at a fast pace
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cycloneye
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Moving due west than WNW at a fast pace
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
Last edited by cycloneye on Wed Sep 08, 2004 6:02 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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TyphoonTim
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if anyone could answer...
how much does say a 5 mile jog to the west vs. west/nw actually translate into the final path of our ivan the terrible?
*after edit*
i do realize that there are many other factors involoved...just wondering if everything else "remains the same" so to speak
how much does say a 5 mile jog to the west vs. west/nw actually translate into the final path of our ivan the terrible?
*after edit*
i do realize that there are many other factors involoved...just wondering if everything else "remains the same" so to speak
Last edited by greeng13 on Wed Sep 08, 2004 5:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Dean4Storms
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I agree, can't say that it is not just a wobble either. Give it a few more hours to see if the 280 verifies.
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kevin
greeng13.. hard to tell, almost impossible to predict quantitatively. It would be one thing if we knew where Ivan was going to land, but we don't... so there is no baseline to see whether the jog is really a jog or just a product of the forecast itself within the margins of what was predicted. For instance... the stairstepping of Frances.
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cycloneye
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More west at 2 more frames.
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cycloneye
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Also it is moving fast and that fast motion will not permit a turn to the NW more sooner.
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