Couple of quick hits....as I'm fairly swamped with additional prep work here at work.
Latest sat images suggest that eyewall structural changes are underway...and that we may see a larger eye pop out later today.
Model consenus continues to shift south over the last 3 runs...
8PM Last Night 26.7 78.1 72 hours
2AM Today 27.2 78.9 72 hours
8AM Today 27.2 79.5 72 hours
Jevo reports that the FL highway road signs are in test mode and it appears that the turnpike is being prepared to handle evacuations. This is unofficial.
Model verification so far:
11PM Forecast from last night with todays verification point. The hurricane is still south of all of the guidance through 12 hours....
8AM Actual Position: 21.4 69.1
NHC Forecast: 21.7N, 69.1W
AVN Forecast: 21.6N, 69.1W
GFDL Forecast: 21.7N, 68.8W
LBAR: 21.6N, 69.1W
NOGAPS: 21.8N, 69.3W
More when I can...
MW
Frances Quick Hits
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