If NHC blindly worships GFS and GFDL and hates the EC....

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Derecho
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If NHC blindly worships GFS and GFDL and hates the EC....

#1 Postby Derecho » Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:18 am

Then why is the 5AM forecast track landfall about 4 times closer to the EC landfall than the GFS or GFDL landfalls?
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PTPatrick
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#2 Postby PTPatrick » Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:21 am

My guess is that they are tending to think the models will eventually rend west(per last nights discussion) and that they trust conisistency over waffling from Miami to Charleston with each run. PErhaps they are using good old fashioned knowledge and it making them believe that it will stay more west. WE will have to see...
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ColinD
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Re: If NHC blindly worships GFS and GFDL and hates the EC..

#3 Postby ColinD » Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:28 am

Derecho wrote:Then why is the 5AM forecast track landfall about 4 times closer to the EC landfall than the GFS or GFDL landfalls?


NHC/NASA rivalry for government funds ;-) ;-)

Gotta give the upstate boys a scare every once in a while :-P
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