Melbourne Hit! NOT!

[DROliver]

Update from local T.V mets and local officials.

Yesterday the media was down playing a Frances impact and so was local officials.Then the hype began at 5pm and continued to 11pm.Still local officials asssured me there was no need to burn debris and said they were assured Frances would have a small impact on local weather.

This morning the hype has lessen and 1 local official I spoke with early said they are monitoring the system but it is looking good that we won't have a big problem with Frances.

In summary of the 4 stations here in Orlando this morning.All said Frances is 5 days out.The track will change over time.All said Frances should take a Floyd like track.They stressed anything can happen and we must be prepared.Again channel 6 met goes further to say that "Frances is now north of her projected path at this time and that tells me she is already starting her turn away form the NHC track.This should be great news for us here in Florida"Channel 2 said "Frances should track like Floyd but it is not as big so if it is 200-300 miles off our coast we should feel little effects and our labor day weekend will be great."

Now they are correct, the models have trended north the last few days.The fluid dynamics have plenty of time to change.The natural sense of hurricanes is to move poleward and the models are predicting a weaker ridge.So Frances should track like Floyd,but what we do know is how a small jog can effect the potential track(Charely).So it looks like they a treating this the correct way for the time being.What is wrong is how local officials are down playing Frances and are not preparing for a worse case scenario. If Frances makes her way here it will change everyones lives and when you add billions of tons of tree debris then the devastation will be 10 fold.That is the way they should think but local officials know better than us.

Lets hope the ridge weakens and we can get Frances to kick out to Fishville.As far as a Melbourne hit, I cant see it at this time, if the dynamics play out then Frances will pull a Floyd!But I'm still heading to restock on supplies!


Steve O.

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

dont let your guard down...stay safe!

[feederband]

track have not moved north

[jlauderdal]

Update from local T.V mets and local officials.

Yesterday the media was down playing a Frances impact and so was local officials.Then the hype began at 5pm and continued to 11pm.Still local officials asssured me there was no need to burn debris and said they were assured Frances would have a small impact on local weather.

This morning the hype has lessen and 1 local official I spoke with early said they are monitoring the system but it is looking good that we won't have a big problem with Frances.

In summary of the 4 stations here in Orlando this morning.All said Frances is 5 days out.The track will change over time.All said Frances should take a Floyd like track.They stressed anything can happen and we must be prepared.Again channel 6 met goes further to say that "Frances is now north of her projected path at this time and that tells me she is already starting her turn away form the NHC track.This should be great news for us here in Florida"Channel 2 said "Frances should track like Floyd but it is not as big so if it is 200-300 miles off our coast we should feel little effects and our labor day weekend will be great."

Now they are correct, the models have trended north the last few days.The fluid dynamics have plenty of time to change.The natural sense of hurricanes is to move poleward and the models are predicting a weaker ridge.So Frances should track like Floyd,but what we do know is how a small jog can effect the potential track(Charely).So it looks like they a treating this the correct way for the time being.What is wrong is how local officials are down playing Frances and are not preparing for a worse case scenario. If Frances makes her way here it will change everyones lives and when you add billions of tons of tree debris then the devastation will be 10 fold.That is the way they should think but local officials know better than us.

Lets hope the ridge weakens and we can get Frances to kick out to Fishville.As far as a Melbourne hit, I cant see it at this time, if the dynamics play out then Frances will pull a Floyd!But I'm still heading to restock on supplies!


Steve O.

have they looked at the very consistent euro or the new gfs lately

[rlar798]

Don't know who your listening to but from every channel I've watched they are saying get prepared.

[jlauderdal]

Don't know who your listening to but from every channel I've watched they are saying get prepared.

the voice of reason...thank you for posting that. im in sofla but i cannot imagine any met in central florida sounding an all clear or anything close.

[DROliver]

The official NHC forecast track has moved north from Vero Beach area to Melbourne area. The models have trended north each day there is no doubting that.They also have been clustered in agreement and some flip flop as much as Kerry.The local mets will paint a rosey picture the best the can until we get evac orders for the central florida coast.

[DROliver]

Don't know who your listening to but from every channel I've watched they are saying get prepared.

Yes I mentioned that.

[DROliver]

Don't know who your listening to but from every channel I've watched they are saying get prepared.

the voice of reason...thank you for posting that. im in sofla but i cannot imagine any met in central florida sounding an all clear or anything close.

I never said any met has given an all clear.Please read the post again.Now some local offiicals have assured me Frances will not bother us,so yes in that way the have given the all clear and the point I'm stressing is they are IDIOTS!

[TLHR]

They also have been clustered in agreement and some flip flop as much as Kerry.

It would be appreciated to leave political comments to yourself.

You leave out the Kerry comments, and I'll leave out Karma vs. The 2000 Election comments.

Deal?

[DROliver]

They also have been clustered in agreement and some flip flop as much as Kerry.

It would be appreciated to leave political comments to yourself.

You leave out the Kerry comments, and I'll leave out Karma vs. The 2000 Election comments.

Deal?

No deal and if you are applying the reason Florida is under the gun again is because of the 2000 elections you really need help.