Is something trying to organize off the SC coast?

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TLHR

Is something trying to organize off the SC coast?

#1 Postby TLHR » Thu Aug 26, 2004 7:21 am

Charleston had a lot of rain last night that came in counter-clockwise bands.

Any models show anything?
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#2 Postby PurdueWx80 » Thu Aug 26, 2004 2:56 pm

Wanted to bump this up because there is a definite mid level convectively-induced vortex off the coast of SC. I'm not too sure this would be the one to develop the system since it is so close to the coast. Nevertheless, there is still quite a bit of thunderstorm activity in the area. Yet another thing to watch.
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#3 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Thu Aug 26, 2004 2:58 pm

Glad you brought that up.....the wind here is kicking some butt!
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#4 Postby PurdueWx80 » Thu Aug 26, 2004 3:00 pm

charleston_hugo_veteran wrote:Glad you brought that up.....the wind here is kicking some butt!


A lot of that has to do with the pressure gradient between what low pressure there is (not much) and the big high moving off the NE coast. I see Hatteras is pretty gusty this afternoon too.
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#5 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 26, 2004 3:00 pm

Slow development possible. I really don't expect much to come of it. Big rainmaker more than anything.
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#6 Postby dhweather » Thu Aug 26, 2004 3:01 pm

This one just doesn't appear to have favorable conditions right now.
That may change in a day or two.
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#7 Postby Matthew5 » Thu Aug 26, 2004 3:03 pm

Maybe a weak low forming around 31.5 north/79.5 west with a few blow ups of convection!
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#8 Postby PurdueWx80 » Thu Aug 26, 2004 5:04 pm

Frances isn't the only thing for the east coast to worry about. Convection has maintained itself over the mid-level circulation, which means there is a relatively high likelihood of that becoming the main center of this disturbance. Basically, the convection has to keep inputting latent heat into the circulation, and it will eventually lower the vortex to the surface. The 18Z Eta really has jumped onto a surface low forming and meandering off the FL/GA/SC coast for the next few days. Again, the worst this disturbance can do, as of now, is cause a tremendous amount of rain along the coastline. That would only increase the chances of major flooding should any other storm come into this area (Ahem....Frances....). Check out the long range radar from Charleston: http://weather.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.kclx.shtml.
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