AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
404 AM CDT SAT AUG 14 2004
.DISCUSSION...
SOME LOW CLOUDS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS MORNING. SOME HIGH CLOUDS ARE STREAMING INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. UNSEASONABLY LOW AUGUST DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S CAN BE FOUND ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS MORNING. EXPECT THIS ALONG WITH MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO PERSIST OVER THE WEEKEND AND THE FIRST PART OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTHEAST ALLOWS A DRY NORTHEAST TO EAST FLOW ACROSS THE AREA (MODELS ACTUALLY HAVE
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES DROPPING SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING). COULD SEE SOME RECORD LOWS THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING. MOISTURE LEVELS BEGIN THEIR INCREASE ON TUESDAY AS SOUTHEAST WINDS
RETURN. WILL KEEP THE MENTION OF LOW POPS ON WEDNESDAY AS ENOUGH MOISTURE MIGHT BE PRESENT FOR SOME ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP. BETTER RAIN CHANCES (CHANCE POPS FOR NOW) LOOK TO COME AFTER WEDNESDAY AS
MOISTURE LEVELS CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AND A NORTHWEST TEXAS UPPER LEVEL TROF EDGES SLOWLY TO THE EAST. DEPRESSION FIVE GRADUALLY APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES NOW IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN (EARL IS NEXT ON THE LIST) AND BE IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN ON THURSDAY MORNING AS A HURRICANE. STAY TUNED! 42/34
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