OK..I'll admit, this IS almost north

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ncweatherwizard
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OK..I'll admit, this IS almost north

#1 Postby ncweatherwizard » Thu Aug 12, 2004 10:10 pm

That wasn't a wobble folks...this thing is moving just west of due north. (340 heading from the NHC 11PM; which matches up w/visuals)
The eye is becoming better organized--that's obvious..and..well it's going to get across Cuba quickly. It may be 95kts before it makes landfall, and going out on a limb 110 to 115kts is not out of the question before landfall in Florida. My biggest reservation though...check out the southwest side..I don't know how long it's going to hold up, but conditions should be more favorable in the GOM.

Really, if I were anybody from Fort Myers to a little north of Tampa, I'd really be worried. But right now, Sarasota and Tampa have got Charley's name written all over them.

Finally, I'd like to apologize for an error in this evening's forecast--supposed to be 75kts at 36 hours not 55kts. Still think TS Watch is appropriate though for NE FL/GA/SC, until intensity is more confident tomorrow--hurricane warnings may even be needed as far north as South Carolina should Charley remain that strong after crossing Florida. Bang me on the head if you will--I got to get with it, and stop making typos and crap.

Florida, here's your major--hope you're happy. I hope it somehow hits an isolated locale.
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ncweatherwizard
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1243
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 9:45 am
Location: Ft. Collins, CO

#2 Postby ncweatherwizard » Thu Aug 12, 2004 10:13 pm

Guess I got my TS Watch
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