Convection flare just south of......

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dixiebreeze
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Convection flare just south of......

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 05, 2004 11:23 pm

the DR. TD 2 remnants looking a bit better:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
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#2 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Aug 05, 2004 11:27 pm

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#3 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Aug 05, 2004 11:56 pm

It seems to keep pulsing north and south every 6-8 hours or so....Which pulse will come into play....North will take it over eastern Cuba and towards the eastern GOM and F straits....South could take it through the Y channel and into the central GOM..
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#4 Postby lilbump3000 » Fri Aug 06, 2004 12:02 am

Seems like the shear has shifted from west to now coming out of the southwest. I just hope conditions get better tomorrow for it.
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ColdFront77

#5 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri Aug 06, 2004 12:27 am

dixiebreeze wrote:Another perspective:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/WV/20.jpg


Yes a different perspective... in terms of the upper levels of the atmosphere.
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#6 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Aug 06, 2004 12:45 am

Conditions look to be horrible at this time for development, I hope they change during the next hours to come. At least bursting everyday tell us that the system is not death already. Is like a person in coma, at least the heart continues pulsing telling that the person is not entirely death. The same is happening with our X-TD.
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#7 Postby MortisFL » Fri Aug 06, 2004 1:38 am

Interesting example...
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#8 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Aug 06, 2004 1:47 am

Aug. 6 T# for TD 2 remnants are:

06/0545 UTC 17.0N 73.2W T1.0/1.5 02 -- Atlantic Ocean
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#9 Postby Nimbus » Fri Aug 06, 2004 5:16 am

There is an ULL forming and rolling off to the west ahead of TD2. High pressure will build in over the area as the day progresses. This afternoons convective burst may not get blown out by shear.

The trough has been diving into the gulf rapidly and the high pressure starting to form over TD2 should build north to meet it. It will be interesting to see where the front stalls out.

Looked to me this morning as though the trough may dig further south than mid Florida and that the likeliest place for a cutoff surface low to form would be the Western gulf at the tail end of the front?

Be a lot more fun for you to go down to the beach and watch the surf come in from *north* of the trough where it is dry and cool.
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#10 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 06, 2004 7:45 am

Looks like crap. It's badly sheared and it's over land. :roll:
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#11 Postby Hurricanehink » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:01 am

Brent, you are exactly right. It looks like a pathetic wave, and it is going to have to sit for a while in the Gulf with little to no shear to have a chance of developing. Even then, dry air may be a problem.
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No problem

#12 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:10 am

Hurricanehink wrote:Brent, you are exactly right. It looks like a pathetic wave, and it is going to have to sit for a while in the Gulf with little to no shear to have a chance of developing. Even then, dry air may be a problem.



That should be no problem by the time it (the wave)gets in the GOM the "dry air" will be gone. Don't be fooled by these early
season "cool fronts". They really don't amount to much and before you know it the dry air is gone.
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#13 Postby The Dark Knight » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:12 am

I agree 100% the cool fronts really don't add up to much.......
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