Low Pressure System off Iceland

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

Low Pressure System off Iceland

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jun 09, 2004 5:54 pm

This may be off-topic but it's interesting the low pressure system off the Iceland coast. You can see it in the webpage below, the image is excellent. 8-)

http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Natura ... g_id=12172

Sandy Delgado
0 likes   

User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#2 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Jun 09, 2004 6:01 pm

That's a wrapped up beauty ...

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2044
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

#3 Postby Hurricanehink » Wed Jun 09, 2004 6:07 pm

Wow... nice.
0 likes   

User avatar
USAwx1
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 936
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2004 5:57 pm
Location: Marineland, FL

#4 Postby USAwx1 » Wed Jun 09, 2004 7:15 pm

That would be a polar low -- a cousin to tropical cyclones and hurricanes. here's some background for those that are interested.

Polar lows normally form in response to the following things:

1) Cold outbreak w/ cold air flowing from land over a warmer ocean
2) Shallow baroclinic zone.
3) An Upper trough and/or closed low.
4) Cold 500H temps, within the -30 to -35C range (Rasmussen (1994)
5) Upper speed maximum and area of positive Vorticity Advection.
6) enhanced convection or meso-vorticies

The primary difference between Polar lows and tropical systems is that as we know, tropical systems normally have a 500H temperature which is a degree or so warmer than the rest of the environment at the same pressure level, thus the term "warm core". the developmental processes of Polar lows have more characteristics of mid-latitude systems. However CAN develop the warm core and Eye structure.

take a look at the 500H analysis from 12z this afternoon over the North Atlantic.

Image

When forecasting the development of a polar low look for area in which the low level disturbance and upper level forcing are most likely to meet up.

the transference of a vortex to a polar low can occur VERY quickly in response to the approach of the upper trough, and associated convective development due to decreased stability, where land-sea interactions or the combination of that an CSIK (Conditional Instability of the second kind), contribute to intensification.

Polar lows (like tropical systems) may develop VERY strong winds, up to hurricane force, In cases of EXTREMELY RAPID DEEPENING. Normally this requires strong upper level divergence placed above low level convergence.

Polar lows may also move at speeds above 20KT, produce heavy snow showers and snow squalls, and blowing snow as a result of the strong winds associated w/ polar lows when over land.

Not unlike tropical systems, once polar lows move over land, or Ice-capped regions, they will rapidly weaken as the contrast between the cold air above them and warmer SSTs is lost.
0 likes   

User avatar
zoeyann
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 610
Joined: Thu Aug 21, 2003 9:27 am
Location: Houma, Louisiana
Contact:

#5 Postby zoeyann » Wed Jun 09, 2004 7:24 pm

So is this one of those amazing day after tommorrow hurricane blizzards. Just kidding could not help it. It is a really amazing picture though.
0 likes   

User avatar
USAwx1
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 936
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2004 5:57 pm
Location: Marineland, FL

#6 Postby USAwx1 » Wed Jun 09, 2004 8:32 pm

zoeyann wrote:So is this one of those amazing day after tommorrow hurricane blizzards. Just kidding could not help it. It is a really amazing picture though.


You think that image of a polar low was impressive, zoey, check this one out:

Image

this one is particularly strong, note the well defined eye.

and another that i was able to find:

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#7 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jun 09, 2004 8:39 pm

Impressive is not enough, I will say astonishing.

Sandy Delgado
0 likes   

User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:

#8 Postby senorpepr » Wed Jun 09, 2004 9:41 pm

Quite honestly this is nothing out of the ordinary. During my days of forecasting in Europe, this Icelandic lows were very common. In this situation, this low is fairly weak in comparision to the average low -- of course being summer. Sorry, no blizzards with this system. Just some rainshowers associated with the trough along with some rain associated with the frontolysizing (dieing) occluded boundary.

Here's a satellite analysis of Europe, with the featured low SSE of Iceland. Of course, this image is an IR shot with cloud temperates of greater than -8°C removed. You can see this low isn't all that impressive at all. Wait until around mid-winter. Then you'll see some fairly impressive lows.

Image
0 likes   

HurricaneBill
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3420
Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA

#9 Postby HurricaneBill » Wed Jun 09, 2004 9:48 pm

I think I read somewhere on the internet that Europe actually names these storms. I think they call them "oktenfiels" (I know I definitely misspelled that). I think that is German for "hurricane low". I think there was a powerful one in 1990 named Daria and a recent one named Gerda.
0 likes   

User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:

#10 Postby senorpepr » Wed Jun 09, 2004 9:56 pm

HurricaneBill wrote:I think I read somewhere on the internet that Europe actually names these storms. I think they call them "oktenfiels" (I know I definitely misspelled that). I think that is German for "hurricane low". I think there was a powerful one in 1990 named Daria and a recent one named Gerda.


Actually... you remembered correctly. The University of Berlin assigns names to the significant lows and highs throughout Europe. They have an interesting naming convention. I believe somewhere on their site they talk about it. In early 2003, they allowed the public to bid on naming rights on eBay. Someone could bid for a slot starting with a certain letter. The highest bidder was allowed to name that storm using that specific letter. The money was directed to the meteorology department. Here's the link along with their 36-hr forecast.

http://www.met.fu-berlin.de/de/wetter/bodenvorhersage/

Image
0 likes   

HurricaneBill
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3420
Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA

#11 Postby HurricaneBill » Wed Jun 09, 2004 9:56 pm

Boy, I was way off with that word.

It's actually "orkantief".
0 likes   

User avatar
zoeyann
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 610
Joined: Thu Aug 21, 2003 9:27 am
Location: Houma, Louisiana
Contact:

#12 Postby zoeyann » Wed Jun 09, 2004 10:01 pm

Thanks for posting the pics USAwx1. I can not explain why, but I think storms like that are just beautiful, nature at her most powerful.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#13 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jun 09, 2004 10:05 pm

senorpepr wrote:
HurricaneBill wrote:I think I read somewhere on the internet that Europe actually names these storms. I think they call them "oktenfiels" (I know I definitely misspelled that). I think that is German for "hurricane low". I think there was a powerful one in 1990 named Daria and a recent one named Gerda.


Actually... you remembered correctly. The University of Berlin assigns names to the significant lows and highs throughout Europe. They have an interesting naming convention. I believe somewhere on their site they talk about it. In early 2003, they allowed the public to bid on naming rights on eBay. Someone could bid for a slot starting with a certain letter. The highest bidder was allowed to name that storm using that specific letter. The money was directed to the meteorology department. Here's the link along with their 36-hr forecast.


Interesting.... I didn't know they named lows and highs. Everyday we learn something new. I think we should begin naming tornadoes as well. :lol:

Sandy Delgado
0 likes   

User avatar
USAwx1
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 936
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2004 5:57 pm
Location: Marineland, FL

#14 Postby USAwx1 » Wed Jun 09, 2004 10:19 pm

senorpepr wrote:Quite honestly this is nothing out of the ordinary. During my days of forecasting in Europe, this Icelandic lows were very common. In this situation, this low is fairly weak in comparision to the average low -- of course being summer. Sorry, no blizzards with this system. Just some rainshowers associated with the trough along with some rain associated with the frontolysizing (dieing) occluded boundary.

Here's a satellite analysis of Europe, with the featured low SSE of Iceland. Of course, this image is an IR shot with cloud temperates of greater than -8°C removed. You can see this low isn't all that impressive at all. Wait until around mid-winter. Then you'll see some fairly impressive lows.

http://131.54.120.150/GifImages/metsatanal.gif


great posts....the 1987 PL in the example i provided occurred during the heart of the 1986-87 winter and was VERY strong.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#15 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jun 09, 2004 10:40 pm

EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF AUSTRALIA, FEBRUARY, 2002....

http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/NaturalHazards/Archive/Feb2002/AussieLow_S2002051_lrg.jpg


LOW-PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC, SOUTH OF ALASKA, DECEMBER, 2002....

http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/NaturalHazards/Archive/Dec2002/pacificlow.TMO2002346_lrg.jpeg

Sandy Delgado
0 likes   

User avatar
bahamaswx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1545
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 1:11 am
Location: Georgetown, Bahamas

#16 Postby bahamaswx » Thu Jun 10, 2004 1:35 am

Could you possibly post pictures any more massive please? I have to squint to make it out... it's simply too small.
0 likes   

HurricaneBill
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3420
Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA

#17 Postby HurricaneBill » Thu Jun 10, 2004 2:05 am

bahamaswx wrote:Could you possibly post pictures any more massive please? I have to squint to make it out... it's simply too small.


What do you mean? That last one broke through my screen and knocked me out of my chair! :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:

#18 Postby wx247 » Thu Jun 10, 2004 6:03 am

Well actually, not to go off-topic, but we do name tornadoes. The first town that they hit or area of impact becomes the name of the tornado.

For example, in May of this year, the tornado that hit Hallam, NE hit a couple of other places afterwards, but because it hit Hallam first... it was named the Hallam tornado.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Josephine96

#19 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Jun 10, 2004 8:53 am

LOL I was going to say.. Those pics are definitely massive
0 likes   

Matthew5

#20 Postby Matthew5 » Thu Jun 10, 2004 8:25 pm

I call those Artic hurricanes which I heard some one say that the only system that can form a eye is a tropical cyclone? I believe that was the discussion on the movie The day after tomarrow. But yes the there is a cold core system just like a tropical cyclone :eek:
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 112 guests