Invest for EPAC

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cycloneye
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Invest for EPAC

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 28, 2004 3:40 pm

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

91E invest for area south of Central America and now let's see if it will be the second storm of the EPAC season BLAS will be the name.
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#2 Postby FWBHurricane » Fri May 28, 2004 4:01 pm

Cycloneye, I don't see the system on the radar screen. Unless it has no cloud cover in the center? If it dosnt have cloud cover and dosnt develop one soon, the storm would be a flop.
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#3 Postby Hurricanehink » Fri May 28, 2004 5:05 pm

Grr... NRL Montery isn't working! Is it not working for anyone else?
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#4 Postby MGC » Fri May 28, 2004 8:17 pm

There is a bit of spin on the IR loop this evening.....MGC
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#5 Postby Aquawind » Fri May 28, 2004 8:58 pm

MGC wrote:There is a bit of spin on the IR loop this evening.....MGC


Spin no doubt.. Convection is limited at the moment, but that can change quickly and is currently firing up. :D

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#6 Postby wxman57 » Fri May 28, 2004 9:08 pm

I think we'll almost certainly see a storm develop there in the next 3-4 days. Plenty of energy and the MJO on its way. The question is, will we then get development in the western Caribbean or Gulf a week or so later?
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#7 Postby Aquawind » Sat May 29, 2004 7:08 am

wxman57 wrote:I think we'll almost certainly see a storm develop there in the next 3-4 days. Plenty of energy and the MJO on its way. The question is, will we then get development in the western Caribbean or Gulf a week or so later?



That is a good question and I would say the chances as pretty good it will happen..

It's amazing how clear the Atlantic is right now, with the only activity along the ITCZ and S.A. coastline. This morning we have another rather impressive blob in the suspect area with more wave coming.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browsh.html

It's open season in a few days so any development would be rigt on schedule..

The Models will be getting scrutiny in the coming days I reckon..

Our bestest buddy Mr Shear has relaxed considerably compared to last week..right on schedule as well..

Image



Season is just around the corner.. :D :D
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