Look what is coming off Africa!!!! link

[Dean4Storms]

This is unbelievable for this early in the season. This convection actually deepens once it gets over the Atlantic. A very EARLY CV season????

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[Steve]

SST's are pretty cool off of Africa. If you look at the loop you posted, check out the last wave that rolled off (a bit smaller, but similar). It's now about 32W and almost devoid of convection. This one should meet the same fate.

Steve

[Josephine96]

Now that would be something if it manages to build instead of shrink. Looks somewhat impressive..

[Dean4Storms]

SST's are pretty cool off of Africa. If you look at the loop you posted, check out the last wave that rolled off (a bit smaller, but similar). It's now about 32W and almost devoid of convection. This one should meet the same fate.

Steve

The waters below 10 degrees N are actually a little warmer off Africa than in the Western Carib. ending May 15th if you look at this graphic from TPC.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gifs/atl_anal.gif

It is close enough to 80 degrees to have some potential and even looks to have a slight rotation.

[Brent]

Interesting. It'll hit South America though if it stays down there.

[Steve]

>>The waters below 10 degrees N are actually a little warmer off Africa than in the Western Carib. ending May 15th if you look at this graphic from TPC.

Yeah, I've been watching them myself. They are running colder than normal (See OTIS link below) between 0-10 N, but they warm up a little (relative to average) after 30W. On your link, you'll notice that the prior wave flaired up a tiny bit just prior to 30.



Still, I'd bet they meet the same initial fate between 10-30W.

Stevehttps://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/OTIS/US058VMET-GIFwxg.OTIS.glbl_sstanomaly.gif

[Dean4Storms]

No matter what happens to this particular area of convection, it is still very impressive for this time of year. If this is any indication of what will be rolling off Africa from now on it'll be an early CV season most likely!

[Steve]

I definitely agree with that Dean. It will be interesting to see how they progress coming off as the season rolls on. < 2 weeks baby.

Beavis & Bushhead for America!

Steve

[Guest]

Impressive for May no doubt about it!

[dixiebreeze]

Hard to believe there is that much activity in mid-May in the east Atlantic. Usually, such blobs fall apart pretty rapidly when they hit water this time of year.

[chadtm80]

WOW. What a ball of convection. I agree though, will be nothingness by tommorow.. But impressive all the same

[george_r_1961]

i dont believe that this increased activity off Africa is significant. SST's are too cool for anything to come out of it. I also dont believe this is a harbinger of things to come. Not saying we wont have a busy season though im just saying this activity off Africa has no bearing on what is to come.

[Anonymous]

The convection coming out of Africa does look impressive. But we've seen many disturbances exit the COA during the month of may each year. We saw the same thing in May 02 and we had a relatively quiet CV season.