GFS 10 Day..............

[Dean4Storms]

Showing a TC moving up between Cuber and Haiti across the southern Bahama's and out to see where cooler waters will certainly be a problem. Wonder if we will see a sub-tropical hybrid system relying more on baroclonic gradients more than an actual warm core TC if anything at all?


GFS 10 day.....

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/loop.mrfnhpcp.html

[Brent]

Is that not a bizarre track?

[Dean4Storms]

Well Brent, normally I'd say somewhat but not necessarily this time of year, especially if you have a retreating Atlantic ridge and an active Jet still over CONUS.

[Steve H.]

That's not where the EC is putting though. Shows it a lot closer to SE Florida for comfort. I'm not sold on this system developing yet, but the globals are pretty insistent. If I see them showing it tonight (EC in particular) I'll give it some credence.

[HURRICANELONNY]

I have a better chance at winning the lottery then believing the GFS more then three days out......

[Derecho]

Wonder if we will see a sub-tropical hybrid system relying more on baroclonic gradients more than an actual warm core TC if anything at all?

Subtropical and hybrid aren't the same thing. There are no fronts involved with a subtropical cyclone.

One of these days I'll probably put up a "Subtropical/Hybrid/Extratropical Gude" just because it's getting so enormously frustrating seeing the terms misused on a regular basis on all tropical boards.

[Rainband]

[One of these days I'll probably put up a "Subtropical/Hybrid/Extratropical Gude" just because it's getting so enormously frustrating seeing the terms misused on a regular basis on all tropical boards.

Sorry for the frustration but you NEED to realize..not everyone is an expert. S2K is a place for everyone to learn Feel free to post an explanation if you like!!

[Dean4Storms]

Wonder if we will see a sub-tropical hybrid system relying more on baroclonic gradients more than an actual warm core TC if anything at all?

Subtropical and hybrid aren't the same thing. There are no fronts involved with a subtropical cyclone.

One of these days I'll probably put up a "Subtropical/Hybrid/Extratropical Gude" just because it's getting so enormously frustrating seeing the terms misused on a regular basis on all tropical boards.

Boy you are an easy one to frustrate. Forgive me for leaving the word..or.. out from between sub-tropical and hybrid, I do know the difference, just a typo. How come all your posts are nothing more than derogatory posts toward others posters?

[chadtm80]

Its not a deragatory post. Weather is his passion. He is right it is mis-used alot.. Including me. Ortt I realy hope you do do a write up A lot of us are here to lear

[Dean4Storms]

I'm really not concerned with what he does, actually! He could learn some tact in how he scolds a post IMO!

[Josephine96]

As long as it's not huge.. I'd welcome a storm to Florida's shores.. We need rain. We're in a pretty nasty drought..

[LaBreeze]

Josephine96, I will gladly pass along some of the rainfall my area (SouthCentral Louisiana) has been receiving. We've received totals near or over what we received during Tropical Storm Alllison. Hope you get some relief from the drought.