12Z GFS shows a small feature at the surface

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hurricanetrack
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12Z GFS shows a small feature at the surface

#1 Postby hurricanetrack » Wed Mar 17, 2004 1:50 pm

Now, don't get too excited about this, but the 12Z GFS shows a curious little surface "hump" along the isobars starting at about 66 hours.

Look way out in the east Atlantic between the Azores and the Cape Verdes. There is an upper low there that looks to get down to the surface some as the frames move on....

As I said, not much to even consider worrying about, but neat to look at considering we are getting closer every day.

http://www.hurricanetrack.com/animation ... fsslp.html
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Rainband

#2 Postby Rainband » Wed Mar 17, 2004 1:53 pm

I can't wait till the season begins. Thanks for the info :wink:
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#3 Postby Lindaloo » Wed Mar 17, 2004 1:59 pm

Bring it on!!! WOO HOO :)
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#4 Postby southerngale » Wed Mar 17, 2004 2:01 pm

I can't wait either!
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#5 Postby Rainband » Wed Mar 17, 2004 2:15 pm

I will finally be up to speed so to speak. I was so frustrated last year in chat. when everyone had the links of the satellites open and was viewing them. I was still waiting for my old dinosaur computer to load them :oops: :oops: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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#6 Postby Stephanie » Wed Mar 17, 2004 2:44 pm

That's what I like about my new computer too! You're going have a blast Johnathan!
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i see it...but

#7 Postby george_r_1961 » Thu Mar 18, 2004 10:12 am

There is no chance of this "hump" developing into anything. it has never happened in March at least not in that area.
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#8 Postby Rainband » Thu Mar 18, 2004 3:18 pm

Stephanie wrote:That's what I like about my new computer too! You're going have a blast Johnathan!
:) :) :) :) Thanks Stephanie :wink:
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Re: i see it...but

#9 Postby Stormsfury » Thu Mar 18, 2004 5:39 pm

george_r_1961 wrote:There is no chance of this "hump" developing into anything. it has never happened in March at least not in that area.


Yep ... in 1908, a March storm (hurricane) did crop up but much farther west than what the 12z GFS depicts ... and it's just that ... an upper system which maybe having some convective feedback issues which in turn kinks the isobars a bit ...


<pre>
Storm NOT NAMED is number 1 of the year 1908
************************************************
Month Day Hour Lat. Long. Dir. ----Speed----- -----Wind------ Pressure ------------Type-----------
March 6 12 UTC 23.8N 60.2W -- deg -- mph -- kph 60 mph 95 kph -- mb Tropical Storm
March 6 18 UTC 22.7N 60.7W 205 deg 12 mph 20 kph 65 mph 100 kph -- mb Tropical Storm
March 7 0 UTC 21.6N 61.1W 200 deg 12 mph 20 kph 75 mph 120 kph -- mb Hurricane - Category 1
March 7 6 UTC 20.6N 61.5W 200 deg 11 mph 18 kph 80 mph 130 kph -- mb Hurricane - Category 1
March 7 12 UTC 19.7N 61.9W 205 deg 10 mph 16 kph 90 mph 150 kph -- mb Hurricane - Category 1
March 7 18 UTC 18.8N 62.2W 195 deg 10 mph 16 kph 100 mph 160 kph -- mb Hurricane - Category 2
March 8 0 UTC 18.0N 62.5W 200 deg 9 mph 14 kph 100 mph 160 kph -- mb Hurricane - Category 2
March 8 6 UTC 17.3N 62.8W 200 deg 8 mph 12 kph 80 mph 130 kph -- mb Hurricane - Category 1
March 8 12 UTC 16.6N 63.1W 200 deg 8 mph 12 kph 75 mph 120 kph -- mb Hurricane - Category 1
March 8 18 UTC 16.0N 63.4W 205 deg 6 mph 11 kph 75 mph 120 kph -- mb Hurricane - Category 1
March 9 0 UTC 15.4N 63.7W 205 deg 6 mph 11 kph 75 mph 120 kph -- mb Hurricane - Category 1
March 9 6 UTC 14.9N 64.0W 210 deg 5 mph 9 kph 60 mph 95 kph -- mb Tropical Storm
March 9 12 UTC 14.4N 64.2W 200 deg 5 mph 9 kph 45 mph 75 kph -- mb Tropical Storm
March 9 18 UTC 13.8N 64.6W 215 deg 8 mph 12 kph 40 mph 65 kph -- mb Tropical Storm
</pre>


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