Tropical Update: 15 Mar

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:

Tropical Update: 15 Mar

#1 Postby senorpepr » Mon Mar 15, 2004 3:18 pm

Finally NRL is back online. Now I have the task of renumbering these Invests properly. Please bare with me.

:rarrow: A) Invest (97W): At 15/1902Z...
Position near 7.1N 138.0E (190nm SE of Yap)
Maximum sustained winds are 25 mph
Minimum central pressure is 1004 mb

Note: This system was listed yesterday under topic B as Invest 95W.

97W is currently depicted as an elongated surface trough. Regardless, it is continuing to organize under good divergence and weak to moderate shear aloft. The JTWC has 97W under a fair chance at development.

https://metoc.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/ab/abpwweb.txt

:rarrow: B) Invest (90P): At 15/1825Z...
Position near 11.3S 130.3E (100nm NNE of Darwin, Australia)
Maximum sustained winds are 30 mph
Minimum central pressure is 1002 mb
T# numbers: 2.0/2.0

Note: This system was listed properly yesterday, but under topic C.

90P is undergoing improving organization. However, it is battle moderate shear aloft. Coupled with that, though, is moderate divergence. JTWC has 90P under a fair chance of development.

https://metoc.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/ab/abioweb.txt

:rarrow: C) Invest (92S): At 15/1900Z...
Position near 16.2S 85.6E (425nm WSW if Cocos Islands)
Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph
Minimum central pressure is 1000 mb
T# numbers: 1.5/2.0

Note: This system was listed yesterday under topic A as Invest 98S. Since this system numerically comes after 90P, I’ve adjusted the order accordingly.

This system has really pulled itself together and the JTWC has issued a TCFA. Stay tuned if this system is upgraded to a depression…

https://metoc.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/warni ... 204web.txt

Please utilize the above link for the latest advisory. For latest forecast tracks and satellite imagery, go to the NRL Monterey's website at: http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Remember for storm information, to include watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
0 likes   

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: CFLHurricane, Coolcruiseman, Cpv17, cycloneye, duilaslol, gatorcane, IcyTundra, ouragans, SFLcane, TheBurn, WaveBreaking, Weathertracker96 and 153 guests