A) TC Gafilo (16S): At 08/1800Z...
Position near 18.4S 43.3E (180nm WNW of Antananarivo, Madagascar)
Movement toward the SW at 17 mph
Maximum sustained winds are 75 mph
Minimum central pressure is 976 mb
T# numbers: 3.5/3.5
Gafilo is still packing a punch over Madagascar. Expect Gafilo to track over the Mozambique Channel for a short period of time. During this time some strengthening is forecast. Regardless, the weakening trend will resume once Gafilo makes landfall for the second time.
https://metoc.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/warni ... 604web.txt
B) TC Noname (17S): At 08/1730Z...
Position near 13.0S 90.9E (360nm W of Cocos Islands)
Movement toward the NNE at 3 mph
Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph
Minimum central pressure is 1000 mb
T# numbers: 1.5/1.5
Expect 17S to drift erratically under weak steering currents. Under a favorable upper level atmosphere, expect ample strengthening for 17S. The naming convention for 17S is a bit shady at the time. If they name 17S as a Western Australia storm (E of 90°E) then the name will be Nicky. However, it appears it will get a La Reunion name (W of 90°E) which would be Helma. We’ll see. The 48 hour forecast for 17S has a 85 mph cyclone at the end of the period with continued strengthening projected.
https://metoc.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/warni ... 704web.txt
Please utilize the above link for the latest advisory. For latest forecast tracks and satellite imagery, go to the NRL Monterey's website at: http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
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