LLC now developing convection

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Vortex
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LLC now developing convection

#1 Postby Vortex » Fri Oct 31, 2003 7:35 pm

Within the last hour convection has fired on the eastern side of the llc near 26.5N. All day it had been void of convection. Up to this point all convection had been well north of the LLC. Interesting night ahead to see if it continues and more importantly fires over the enter center.
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#2 Postby Stormsfury » Fri Oct 31, 2003 7:40 pm

If anything now, it looks like it'll have to be a subtropical system if it does gets classified ... look at the latest WV loop ... still a lot of dry air (but moisture is increasing in the vicinity of the subtropical low and now with a northerly jet getting ready to cut off ... the system may be in a low shear environment (being cut off in a large-scale cyclonic flow)

http://orbit-net.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/a ... loope.html

SF
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#3 Postby wxman57 » Fri Oct 31, 2003 8:45 pm

That small thunderstorm appears to have formed near a weak eddy that is rotating around a very broad center. It's no sign of increasing organization. This system is purely cold core now. The center of circulation appears to be close to 28N/68W, 150+ miles from convection.
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