I took the time...

Anonymous · #1 Postby **Anonymous** » Wed Oct 29, 2003 8:25 pm

Anonymous · #2 Postby **Anonymous** » Wed Oct 29, 2003 8:29 pm

Good research.

Stormsfury · #3 Postby **Stormsfury** » Wed Oct 29, 2003 8:35 pm

I second that, Supercane ... good research ...

SF

stormchazer · #4 Postby **stormchazer** » Wed Oct 29, 2003 8:40 pm

Dang...I would not have the patience. Thanks for doing the leg work.

Anonymous · #5 Postby **Anonymous** » Wed Oct 29, 2003 8:58 pm

This would be amazing especially considerring Nicholaus developed near the Cape verdes---made it 1/2 way across, was downgraded... Now may regenerate and make it all the way-Could get wild as we approach Halloween/november.:BOO:

Discussion from Miami NWS

GFS TRIES TO DEVELOP SURFACE LOW IN ASSOCIATION WITH UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH ROTATING AROUND STATIONARY UPPER RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST
U.S. MODELS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISENT OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS IN
SHOWING THIS FEATURE WITH ROUGHLY SIMILAR TIMING SO WILL GENERALLY
ACCEPT 12Z GFS SOLUTION AND INCLUDE IT IN THIS FORECAST PACKAGE.
AFTER CAUSING WINDS TO HOWL ON HALLOWEEN...THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE ACROSS (OR TO THE SOUTH OF) SOUTH FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND BRINGING
AN INCREASED CHANCE OF MAINLY SHOWER ACTIVITY...AND MAYBE A RUMBLE OR
TWO OF THUNDER ON SUNDA

ColdFront77 · #6 Postby **ColdFront77** » Wed Oct 29, 2003 9:09 pm

I viewed these tropical systems last night from Unisys Weather, too.

The Hurricane Season would end before November 30th, if tropical systems didn't form in the month of November.

rainydaze · #7 Postby **rainydaze** » Thu Oct 30, 2003 10:10 am

WOW

Out of the 13 HC that affected land, only 5 came in contact with the CONUS. 3 of them are ancient 1916 1925 1935 and 2 are recent Kate 1985 and Gordon 1994. Notice the 50 year gap between 1935 and 1985. I guess you could say November HC's are rare for CONUS.

Josephine96 · #8 Postby **Josephine96** » Thu Oct 30, 2003 10:11 am

Yes November storms are rare. At least november hurricanes are lol

JCT777 · #9 Postby **JCT777** » Thu Oct 30, 2003 11:58 am

Good research, Floydbuster! This tells me that if Odette forms, becomes a hurricane and affects land - it is something that is pretty rare for November.

#10 Postby **Steve** » Thu Oct 30, 2003 12:36 pm

Thanks for the tracks Floyd. They sort of confirm my idea that most anything coming into the Gulf in November would essentially end up going ENE(ish) if it didn't dive into Central America.

If the premise by Joe B and the Global models comes to fruition, it would be unprecidented in modern times.

Hey, all I'm looking for is a free day off.

Steve

PTrackerLA · #11 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Thu Oct 30, 2003 3:43 pm

Steve, I wouldn't mind a day off either, if it's gonna be almost summerlike outside, why not have a TC too?

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