Model agreement on development of SW Carribean
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Model agreement on development of SW Carribean
Most short and medium range models develop the system currently being analyzed as a 1006mb at 11n/78w. However, the nogaps and Gfs continue to indicate a N then Ne movement affecting only Jamaica, E Cuba, and the Se bahamas. IMO I think we will have a 40-50kt storm by midweek in the vicinity of Jamaica. More importantly if the medium range models are correct this will have no impact on the U.S.
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stormchazer
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I donot put great faith in models on a system that has not even initialized. Have to watch and see.
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The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Opinions my own.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Opinions my own.
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