Watch SW and western caribbean

[cycloneye]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg

Let's see if that area of showers persist or it vanishes but as we know that area is the most favored one for developments at this time of the year.Some models haved hinted about development in this area for days so let's watch and see what happens in the next few days.

[lilbump3000]

Them showers are with that frontal boundary in the area, with a possible weak area of low pressure on it, it will just be something to watch over the next few days.

[cycloneye]

Convection has to persist in that area and also the shear has to fade to then have something form but let's wait and see if the models are right about something developing in the western caribbean.

[chadtm80]

Dosent look like its persisting.. Its all but died out

[cycloneye]

Yeah Chad at least in the next 2 days nothing will develop in that area but being the most favored area climo speaking let's see what next week brings.

[Rainband]

I agree thats the area to watch but I think this year is about done

[ColdFront77]

Tropical cyclones that have formed in the month of November over the last ten years (1993 to 2002):

1994
Hurricane Florence: November 2 to November 8 (maximum sustained winds reached 95 knots; lowest pressure 972 mb)

Hurricane Gordon: November 8 to November 21 (maximum sustained winds reached 75 knots; lowest pressure 980 mb)


1996
Hurricane Marco: November 13 to November 26 (maximum sustained winds reached 65 knots; lowest pressure 983 mb)

Hurricane Nicole: November 24 to December 2 (maximum sustained winds reached 75 knots; lowest pressure 977 mb)


1999
Hurricane Lenny: November 13 to November 23 (maximum sustained winds reached 135 knots; lowest pressure 933 mb)


2001
Hurricane Noel: November 4 to November 6 (maximum sustained winds reached 65 knots; lowest pressure 986 mb)

Hurricane Olga: November 23 to December 4 (maximum sustained winds reached 80 knots; lowest pressure 973 mb)

[Anonymous]

I thought Hurricane Lenny only peaked at 150 mph or 130 kts.

[Rainband]

Tropical cyclones that have formed in the month of November over the last ten years (1993 to 2002):

1994
Hurricane Florence: November 2 to November 8 (maximum sustained winds reached 95 knots; lowest pressure 972 mb)

Hurricane Gordon: November 8 to November 21 (maximum sustained winds reached 75 knots; lowest pressure 980 mb)


1996
Hurricane Marco: November 13 to November 26 (maximum sustained winds reached 65 knots; lowest pressure 983 mb)

Hurricane Nicole: November 24 to December 2 (maximum sustained winds reached 75 knots; lowest pressure 977 mb)


1999
Hurricane Lenny: November 13 to November 23 (maximum sustained winds reached 135 knots; lowest pressure 933 mb)


2001
Hurricane Noel: November 4 to November 6 (maximum sustained winds reached 65 knots; lowest pressure 986 mb)

Hurricane Olga: November 23 to December 4 (maximum sustained winds reached 80 knots; lowest pressure 973 mb)

Thanks TOM for that info but I still have a feeling this year is about over

[Stormsfury]

I thought Hurricane Lenny only peaked at 150 mph or 130 kts.

Lenny was reanalyzed on final best track analysis to have peaked at 135 kts.

Here's the full prelim report regarding Lenny
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/1999lenny.html

[Josephine96]

I don't think the year is over just yet. We have had too many bursts of storms after quiet periods. So if we go into 1 more quiet period, there will probably be 1 or 2 more storms.

[Anonymous]

Let's hope we don't have any Lennys. Is it true that since Lenny came from West to East, most homes facing West were hit hard?

[Stormsfury]

Let's hope we don't have any Lennys. Is it true that since Lenny came from West to East, most homes facing West were hit hard?

Lenny was the only storm of record to ever cross the Caribbean from west to east. EVERYTHING facing on the west side of those islands suffered extensive damage because frankly again, nothing like Lenny ever hit them from the west.

SF

[cycloneye]

That is why here in Puerto Rico we named Lenny the crazy hurricane because of that movement from west to east and really it scared us bigtime as it was a cat 4 just SW of PR.

About the caribbean area today there is an area in the SW caribbean that has flared up but let's see if it persists.