What names will be retired for 2003 (SO FAR)?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Anonymous

What names will be retired for 2003 (SO FAR)?

#1 Postby Anonymous » Thu Oct 09, 2003 10:30 pm

Maybe...

Claudette- Moderate Damage on Texas coast
Fabian- Extensive Damage to Bermuda
Isabel-Billions in damage to North Carolina, Virginia, and other east coast areas, and over 40 deaths.
Juan- Damage to Nova Scotia
Ignacio&Marty- Damage and deaths in Mexico

My top 3 most likely:

3. Claudette
2. Fabian
3. Isabel
0 likes   

OtherHD
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2192
Age: 39
Joined: Tue Oct 08, 2002 10:01 am
Location: San Antonio, TX

#2 Postby OtherHD » Thu Oct 09, 2003 10:39 pm

Probably just Isabel...
0 likes   

User avatar
AussieMark
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5858
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
Location: near Sydney, Australia

#3 Postby AussieMark » Thu Oct 09, 2003 10:40 pm

I say Isabel and Fabian.

As Isabel caused Billions of damage to the East Coast.

and Fabian as Fabian trashed the Island of Bermuda and there was extensive damage all over the island.
0 likes   

ColdFront77

#4 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri Oct 10, 2003 1:27 am

I believe Isabel will be retired for sure. The chances of Fabian being retired shouldn't be that low. There is a possibility of Claudette being retired... some areas were hit at least somewhat hard... but I certainly wouldn't be surprised if "she" returns to the 2009 list.
0 likes   

Josephine96

#5 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Oct 10, 2003 8:03 am

I say Isabel and Fabian.. I would even go out on an extreme limb and say Ana cause she formed in April.. which was a 1st...
0 likes   

User avatar
JCT777
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6251
Joined: Mon Oct 14, 2002 9:21 am
Location: Spring Mount, PA
Contact:

#6 Postby JCT777 » Fri Oct 10, 2003 8:04 am

Isabel should be retired. Fabian - maybe but I don't think it will be.
0 likes   

Josephine96

#7 Postby Josephine96 » Fri Oct 10, 2003 8:07 am

Isabel should be retired I agree.. Fabian did some huge damage to Bermuda so I think he should be too
0 likes   

User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#8 Postby Stormsfury » Fri Oct 10, 2003 11:48 am

Isabel will likely be retired ... I'm 90% certain of that. The effects were felt over a lot of real estate and the damage, and certainly a very memorable storm.

Fabian also should be retired. Bermuda was absolutely pummeled by Fabian. The storm in dollar figures wasn't anything like an Andrew like tll, but considering Bermuda is only 21 square miles and the NE quad went right over the island with tremendous force. This storm will be a very memorable storm and that alone would be one of the prerequisites of being retired.

Claudette ... I doubt it's retired.

Ana ... nope, no chance. However, it earns it's place in history nonetheless as the first tropical storm in April for the North Atlantic of record.
0 likes   

GalvestonDuck
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 15941
Age: 57
Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2002 8:11 am
Location: Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)

#9 Postby GalvestonDuck » Fri Oct 10, 2003 12:06 pm

Agree to Isabel and Fabian.

Doubt it for Claudette.
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#10 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Oct 10, 2003 12:23 pm

Fabian has a better chance than does Isabel since Fabian affected Bermuda as a major while Isabel was a cat 2
0 likes   

User avatar
stormchazer
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2462
Joined: Fri Aug 29, 2003 12:00 pm
Location: Lakeland, Florida
Contact:

#11 Postby stormchazer » Fri Oct 10, 2003 1:14 pm

Fabian has a better chance than does Isabel since Fabian affected Bermuda as a major while Isabel was a cat 2


Thats my thinking too. With Isabel the dollar amounts might push it over the top but then those dollar cost are a bit relative.
0 likes   
The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.

Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged

Opinions my own.

ColdFront77

#12 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri Oct 10, 2003 11:34 pm

I can honestly say that I don't think Claudette will be retired, I did after all say that there is a possibilty, the possibilty not being too high.

There is no way at all Ana will be retired; the criteria doesn't include storms that form between December 1st and May 31st in the Atlantic Basin that don't do major damage, etc.

If Ana were to be retired, then Claudette should be retired twice over. :)
0 likes   

User avatar
bahamaswx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1542
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 1:11 am
Location: Georgetown, Bahamas

#13 Postby bahamaswx » Fri Oct 10, 2003 11:51 pm

I would hope that neither Ana nor Claudette are retired.
0 likes   

User avatar
george_r_1961
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3171
Age: 64
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 9:14 pm
Location: Carbondale, Pennsylvania

No more Isabel

#14 Postby george_r_1961 » Sat Oct 11, 2003 4:16 am

Isabel should be, and probably will be, retired due to the major damage she caused. Doesnt matter if she was a Cat 1 or 2 or whatever. Wasnt Alison retired? She was only a TS.
0 likes   

User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:

#15 Postby wx247 » Sat Oct 11, 2003 10:07 am

My thoughts are Claudette and Fabian will both be retired.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Anonymous

#16 Postby Anonymous » Sat Oct 11, 2003 10:18 am

Fabian and Isabel probably will.

Ana, no way. Didn't bother anybody at all, and just because it made formation history does not boost its chance of retirement.

Claudette, no. Damage was relatively bad in some areas of Texas, but not anywhere near bad enough for it to get retired.

Also, I still think Juan should get a belated retirement for what it did to Louisiana back in 1985 (damage was over $1 billion, in today's dollars it'd be near $2 billion). But since they've had 18 years to do so, I doubt they will.
0 likes   

User avatar
ChaserUK
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 630
Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 4:10 pm
Location: Jersey, Channel Islands
Contact:

#17 Postby ChaserUK » Sat Oct 11, 2003 5:08 pm

Can I ask? How do they decide then on how to retire hurricane names? There seems to be many reasons why - is it just based on how memerable it was in some way? Also, have anyone got a link as to why hurricanes are named? Thanks.
0 likes   

User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#18 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Oct 11, 2003 6:12 pm

ChaserUK wrote:Can I ask? How do they decide then on how to retire hurricane names? There seems to be many reasons why - is it just based on how memerable it was in some way? Also, have anyone got a link as to why hurricanes are named? Thanks.


These are the retired names.
http://www.stormsfury1.com/Weather/Trop ... tired.html

This is a reason why to name storms.
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/general/lib/reason.html
0 likes   

User avatar
ChaserUK
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 630
Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 4:10 pm
Location: Jersey, Channel Islands
Contact:

#19 Postby ChaserUK » Sat Oct 11, 2003 6:22 pm

Thanks Stormsfury - just what I needed! Great! I do think that Isabel will be retired then!
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Cpv17, EgmontBeachBum, ElectricStorm, gib, Google Adsense [Bot], Hurricaneman, IcyTundra, LAF92 and 41 guests