GUESSES ON WHEN WE'LL HAVE MINDY?........

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dixiebreeze
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GUESSES ON WHEN WE'LL HAVE MINDY?........

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Oct 09, 2003 4:02 pm

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JCT777
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#2 Postby JCT777 » Thu Oct 09, 2003 4:05 pm

I think we will have Mindy by early Saturday morning.
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Rainband

#3 Postby Rainband » Thu Oct 09, 2003 4:25 pm

I say by sunday :roll: If at all :wink:
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#4 Postby AussieMark » Thu Oct 09, 2003 5:13 pm

48-72 hour period.
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#5 Postby stormchazer » Thu Oct 09, 2003 7:46 pm

Saturday...unless it tracks over Hispaniola. If that happens then forget it.
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The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.

Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
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Josephine96

#6 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Oct 09, 2003 10:17 pm

sometime in the next 48-60 hours we will have Mindy
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#7 Postby Lowpressure » Fri Oct 10, 2003 9:51 am

Do not think this will become Mindy any time soon, maybe once acceleration to the NE begins we will see Mindy.
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Steve H.
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#8 Postby Steve H. » Fri Oct 10, 2003 10:05 am

Latest vis satellite images show the center just to NE of the Dominican Republic, between PR and the DR. Nice convection blowing up now, and its heading about 285. Boy, if this were September or that trough wasn't there, Miami would be threatened, and perhaps the east coast of Florida up to JAX. But the trough is there, with little ridging between the trough and the low. This low seems to be directed by the ULL to its west right now, which is aiding in its outflow. I think we could have Mindy by tomorrow :wink:
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#9 Postby GalvestonDuck » Fri Oct 10, 2003 4:05 pm

Um...today....5:00? :wink:
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Rainband

#10 Postby Rainband » Fri Oct 10, 2003 4:14 pm

barely a TS winds of 40 mph gusts to 50 mph...naming this storm messed up my numbers :lol: :lol: But seriously .. I Hope everyone stays safe ..in her path..she is gonna bring copious amounts of rain to PR..which she already has.. and lets not forget.. DR..turks and cacios and the bahamas :o
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#11 Postby CocoaBill » Fri Oct 10, 2003 4:14 pm

I think that Gal may be right. 5pm today is going to be it!!
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#12 Postby ChaserUK » Fri Oct 10, 2003 6:26 pm

yes that was quick but have we not seen that again and again. Larry went from invest to TS too!!! In fact, most storms this season have been very quick to develop.
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#13 Postby AussieMark » Fri Oct 10, 2003 6:27 pm

Isabel and Erika did it as well.
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#14 Postby ChaserUK » Fri Oct 10, 2003 6:39 pm

Isabel. How could I forget that. Have to say this is the forst season I have been able to watch the development of systems in the tropics so intensly. Is it normal for so many storms to undergo rapid development?
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ColdFront77

#15 Postby ColdFront77 » Sat Oct 11, 2003 1:07 am

It isn't that common to have rapidly developing tropical system. In fact, the National Hurricane Center didn't mention rapidly developing tropical system much in their Discussions on the 12 named storms this year.
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#16 Postby bahamaswx » Sat Oct 11, 2003 1:39 am

Only Isabel and Fabian (briefly) underwent rapid development.
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ColdFront77

#17 Postby ColdFront77 » Sat Oct 11, 2003 9:14 pm

My thoughts exactly, bahamaswx. I am referring to the twelve storms this year, in general,
not all literally all twelve storms. :)
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mindy

#18 Postby huricanwatcher » Sat Oct 11, 2003 9:48 pm

is a fish........
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