Guess who say PR gets hammered?

#1 Postby **Vortex** » Wed Oct 08, 2003 10:51 am

Excerpt from JB this morning:

The situation off the East Coast shows no changes from what I have spouting in the posts below . I think a nasty little rogue/nor'easter/subtropical storm is going to ride straight northward, and though it may resemble more of a triple point Sunday morning when it's near Atlantic City, I think this is big rainmaker from the Carolinas to New England. A 24- to 36-hour period of near gale to gale-force onshore winds will get underway tomorrow night on the the Carolina coast and spread northward Friday into Saturday. I don't want to beat this drum anymore than has been outlined below, but instead I want to talk about some other factors here. First of all, low pressure at 25 and 75 is going nowhere as it sits there. It is being sheered like mad, but represents the source of heat that can be drawn in. The tropical disturbance near 13.5 and 59 is getting better outflow and heavy flooding rain is spreading northwestward. Puerto Rico is liable to get hammered by this with local rain to 10-15 inches tonight into Friday

Josephine96 · #2 Postby **Josephine96** » Wed Oct 08, 2003 10:54 am

Sounds pretty bad Vortex. I wonder if JB is right about this set up..

Steve H. · #3 Postby **Steve H.** » Wed Oct 08, 2003 12:06 pm

Hey Vort, did JB talk anymore about the tropics today? Want to know what he thinks going into the end of the month. thanx.

JCT777 · #4 Postby **JCT777** » Wed Oct 08, 2003 12:58 pm

Obviously, JB is very bullish on a significant storm affecting the east coast from the Carolinas to New England from now through Sunday. And if he is right about the disturbance near PR, then residents there should prepare for some flooding rains.

WXBUFFJIM · #5 Postby **WXBUFFJIM** » Wed Oct 08, 2003 1:12 pm

A gale is not uncommon, that's October for the eastern seaboard. A hurricane has not directly hit the eastern seaboard since hazel in October 1954. We're talking about just the month of October here.

Jim

Rainband · #6 Postby **Rainband** » Wed Oct 08, 2003 1:19 pm

From what I understand..Anything..should it affect the EC which I doubt anything will due to the current setup..wouldn't be tropical in nature..and with the current setup it would move ne ..away from the CONUS :wink:

#7 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Oct 08, 2003 1:32 pm

I dont believe that we here in Puerto Rico will recieve 10-15 inches from this wave as JB is saying however we are expecting periods of heavy rain as the axis of the wave passes at thursday afternoon and evening.Thanks to that upper low that is now south of Puerto Rico is why this wave hasn't developed.

ColdFront77 · #8 Postby **ColdFront77** » Wed Oct 08, 2003 3:00 pm

WXBUFFJIM wrote:A gale is not uncommon, that's October for the eastern seaboard. A hurricane has not directly hit the eastern seaboard since hazel in October 1954. We're talking about just the month of October here.

Jim

That's true. I have experienced several Northeast Octobers in the 1980's and 1990's. Every time they moved toward and through my area (back then), a common thing to say was, "if this nor'easter would have happened/was happening two or three months from now this would be quite the snowstorm."

*StOrmsPr* · #9 Postby ***StOrmsPr*** » Wed Oct 08, 2003 6:52 pm

i wouldn't be surprised to see 10 to 15 inches from this wave here in PR at least in some areas!!

and with all the rains some places have had in the last 2 days only 4 to 5 inches would set a flood event!!

Guess who say PR gets hammered?

Guess who say PR gets hammered?

well October is rare for hurricanes on the east coast

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