Tropical storm Larry still is alive

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Oct 05, 2003 6:57 pm

http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... pt32us.htm

This is the 7 PM CDT advisory and I can't believe that Larry is still out there inland in Mexico.I thougt this was going to be the last advisory.

#2 Postby **wxman57** » Sun Oct 05, 2003 7:03 pm

You are correct, Larry is gone. There's nothing left, no wind, no convection. Recon could only find 30kts at 18Z, even less wind now. Don't know why the NHC continues to call it a storm.

#3 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Oct 05, 2003 7:12 pm

57 I think that by the next advisory it will be the last one because it is a complete advisory not like the intermidiate ones.

Rainband · #4 Postby **Rainband** » Sun Oct 05, 2003 7:13 pm

wxman57 wrote:Don't know why the NHC continues to call it a storm.

HEAVY RAINS...WITH STORM TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...AND LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.
Maybe this is why

#5 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Oct 05, 2003 7:24 pm

Rainband yes maybe that is the reason for them to continue the advisorys.

Rainband · #6 Postby **Rainband** » Sun Oct 05, 2003 7:26 pm

cycloneye wrote:Rainband yes maybe that is the reason for them to continue the advisorys.

Yea.. I think people pay more attention to something if it's classified :wink:

And it's obviously a dangerous situation.

#7 Postby **wxman57** » Sun Oct 05, 2003 9:19 pm

Well, using that logic, no TS should ever be downgraded to a TD until there is no longer any circulation or convection, meaning no chance of heavy rain. Remnants of TS Allison produced 35" of rain in Houston overnight a few years ago. It was just a remnant swirl of clouds, no wind, but enough convergence to generate a nocturnal core rainfall Remnants of tropical storms can cause heavy rain, but I don't think that's a good reason to continue classify them as tropical storms with 40+ mph winds.

So now we have a "TS" with maybe 15-25 mph wind, tops. When do we downgrade it? I know it'll probably be called a depression at 10pm, but it's no different now than it was at 1pm this afternoon.

Rainband · #8 Postby **Rainband** » Mon Oct 06, 2003 7:32 am

wxman57 wrote:Well, using that logic, no TS should ever be downgraded to a TD until there is no longer any circulation or convection, meaning no chance of heavy rain. Remnants of TS Allison produced 35" of rain in Houston overnight a few years ago. It was just a remnant swirl of clouds, no wind, but enough convergence to generate a nocturnal core rainfall Remnants of tropical storms can cause heavy rain, but I don't think that's a good reason to continue classify them as tropical storms with 40+ mph winds.

So now we have a "TS" with maybe 15-25 mph wind, tops. When do we downgrade it? I know it'll probably be called a depression at 10pm, but it's no different now than it was at 1pm this afternoon.

Yes.. I get ya. I think in this case the terrain amplified the threat of the life threatening conditions. I agree though about the downgrading situation but also think as I said, classification helps people realize the seriousness of the situation. I know you are talking about the science of the situation

Tropical storm Larry still is alive

Tropical storm Larry still is alive

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