Larry and Kate both weakening...

[WXBUFFJIM]

Good morning and afternoon everyone. Tropical Storm Larry is now moving onshore as we speak while Hurricane Kate interacts with a trough and moves northwest at this time. Both systems are weaker than yesterday.

At 11 AM EDT, A hurricane watch between Veracruz and Ciudad Cel Carmen has been dropped by the Mexican Government. Tropical Storm warnings remain in effect though as Larry moves onshore. Larry was locate about 65 miles east of Coatzacoalocos, Mexico.

Larry is moving toward the south at 2 mph. This motion will bring the center of larry inland. Maximum sustained winds are down to 50 mph with higher gusts. Further weakening is forecast over the next 24 hours and Larry is expected to become a tropical depression later today or tonight. Minimum central pressure is now 997 mb or 29.44 inches.

Coastal storm surge of 1-3 feet above normal tide level is expected along with large waves, particularly to the west of where Larry makes landfall. Rainfall is a bigger story with up to a foot likely in portions of southeastern Mexico. The slow movement of this storm system will assure heavy rains will continue and thus flash flood and devastating mudslides.

Meanwhile Kate has turned toward the northwest and has interacted with the trough off the east coast. No threat to the eastern US and Bermuda is out of the woods now as kate is 505 miles due east of Bermuda. Kate is moving northwest at 9 mph. A faster forward speed toward the north is expected over the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph with higher gusts. Further weakening is forecast. Estimated minimum central pressure is 973 mb or 28.73 inches. Later in the forecast, Newfounderland and Iceland will be close to Kate's remnants. But the latest forecast keep kate offshore from all land areas while it's tropical.

Jim

[ColdFront77]

IR Satellite Loops of Kate:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html