11 AM ON LARRY: DRIFTING SOUTHEAST

Josephine96 · #1 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 9:54 am

000
WTNT32 KNHC 041431
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SAT OCT 04 2003

...LARRY DRIFTING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD MEXICO...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO CAMPECHE.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.7 WEST OR ABOUT
75 MILES...120 KM...NORTHWEST OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO.

LARRY IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH... 4 KM/HR...
AND A GENERAL SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR SOUTH IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING LARRY
CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO TODAY...WITH LANDFALL POSSIBLY
OCCURRING BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE ESTIMATED TO
BE OCCURRING AT THIS TIME. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 FEET OF STORM SURGE
CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CENTER WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA AS LARRY MOVES CLOSER TO THE COAST.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH LARRY ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...19.3 N... 93.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER STEWART

wrkh99 · #2 Postby **wrkh99** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 10:14 am

10 AM ADV not 11

Josephine96 · #3 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 10:38 am

It is 11 am.. It's 10 am Central which is 11 am eastern...

Josephine96 · #4 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 10:39 am

There is a 1 hour time difference lol

wrkh99 · #5 Postby **wrkh99** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 10:42 am

What does this say ?

WTNT32 KNHC 041431
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SAT OCT 04 2003

Josephine96 · #6 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 10:46 am

It says 10 am CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME... Which is a 1 hour difference..

10 am CENTRAL is 11 am EASTERN..

wrkh99 · #7 Postby **wrkh99** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 10:48 am

advisorys should be posted with the time on the adv not the time zone where you live .

OtherHD · #8 Postby **OtherHD** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 11:54 am

I think the 2 pm intermediate advisory should be interesting.

wrkh99 · #9 Postby **wrkh99** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 11:55 am

There is no 2 pm adv

Thanks for playing ~

Josephine96 · #10 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 12:50 pm

It's 2pm eastern.. 1 pm central..

wrkh99 · #11 Postby **wrkh99** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 12:52 pm

It's not 2pm anything

Please keep the advisorys the same time that is listed from the NHC

1pm central adv is out

Josephine96 · #12 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 12:55 pm

lol.. we'll be arguing for days about this lol

OtherHD · #13 Postby **OtherHD** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 12:55 pm

Can you paste what the 2PM advisory says?

Josephine96 · #14 Postby **Josephine96** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 12:56 pm

Other.. I'll post it if I see it..

wrkh99 · #15 Postby **wrkh99** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 1:17 pm

I will post the 1pm adv . Come on people !

Statement as of 1:00 PM CDT on October 04, 2003

...Larry moving southward toward Mexico...

a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect
along the Gulf Coast of Mexico from tuxpan to Campeche.

At 1 PM CDT...1800z...the center of Tropical Storm Larry was
located near latitude 18.8 north...longitude 93.7 west or about
75 miles...120 km...north of Villahermosa Mexico.

Larry is moving toward the south near 7 mph... 11 km/hr...
and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24
hours. This motion will bring Larry closer to the coast of Mexico
today...with landfall possibly occurring by Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph... 95 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next 12 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
...185 km from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb...29.35 inches.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 2 feet above normal tide levels
accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves are estimated to
be occurring at this time. An additional 2 to 3 feet of storm surge
can be expected near and on the western side of the center within
the warning area as Larry moves closer to the coast.

Locally heavy rains associated with Larry are also possible
over portions of southeastern Mexico. These rains could cause
life-threatening flash flood and mudslides.

Repeating the 1 PM CDT position...18.8 N... 93.7 W. Movement
toward...south near 7 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 60 mph. Minimum central pressure... 994 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center
at 4 PM CDT.

Forecaster Stewart

TexasStooge · #16 Postby **TexasStooge** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 1:22 pm

This thread should be interesting.

ColdFront77 · #17 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sat Oct 04, 2003 5:39 pm

John didn't change the 10 AM CDT to 11 AM EDT in his post. (the first one in this thread)

As I mentioned yesterday, Tropical Storm Larry Discussions are being issued in EDT.

11 AM ON LARRY: DRIFTING SOUTHEAST

11 AM ON LARRY: DRIFTING SOUTHEAST

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