Good afternoon folks. Tropical Storm Larry has shown some signs of strengthening. A plume of convection has blown up near the center late this morning into this afternoon and in response to that, pressures have fallen from 997 mb earlier today to 995 mb now as of the 2 pm edt advisory. The 995 mb pressure was measured by recon at around 1 PM EDT with a flight level wind of 56 knots taken a few hours before that.
At 2 PM EDT, Tropical storm warnings and a hurricane watch remain in effect along the Bay Of Campeche coast from Veracruz, MX to Campeche on the Yucatan Pennisula.
At 2 PM EDT 1 PM CDT, the center of tropical storm Larry was located about 110 miles east northeast of Veracruz, Mexico. If you're plotting at home, that would be latitude 19.9 north, longitude 94.7 west. Larry is drifting erratically southwestward. An erratic southward drift is expected during the next 24 hours. This motion will gradually bring the center closer to the coast of Mexico.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph with higher gusts. Some slow strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours.
Minimum central pressure is 995 mb or 29.38 inches as reported the the hurricane hunters about an hour ago.
Coastal storm surge flooding should gradually increase in areas where winds are blowing onshore along the Bay Of Campeche/Mexican coastal waters accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves. In addition expect heavy rains to cause dangerous flash floods and mudslides.
Meanwhile Kate has strengthened more to 110 mph at 11 AM. However Kate has the look of a major hurricane now as of 2 PM with a very well defined studium effect eye if you will. This satellite loop close up http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... flvis.html should show you what I mean. Isn't that gorgeous on satellite??? It kinda reminds me of Isabel, except it's smaller. Still a studium effect eye, gorgeous stuff.
Another update on the entire tropics at 5 PM.
Jim
Larry at 2 PM, Ain't kate so beautiful??
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But if Kate does affect Newfoundland, I don't think residents there will be happy with the way she looks. :oWho is online
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