10-Day MRF.....Larry N to Texas

[KatDaddy]

Here we go. Check it out.

Long way out but still possible especially when this pattern breaks. Abnormal Sept pattern leads to abnormal Oct.

http://itg1.meteor.wisc.edu/wxp_images/ ... y_g211.gif

[Guest]

It is not not over until November 30th, and I think the US is not out of the woods yet.

[JCT777]

It's still not an absolute guarantee that Larry will go into Mexico, so we definitely need to watch him. Although I think a north track into Texas has about a .000000001% chance of happening.

[wxman57]

The MRF is no more, KatDaddy. You're looking at a part of the now GFS model. I suggest using the site below for the GFS, as it's run every 6 hours out to 16 days vs. some web sites (like. Univ. of Wisconsin) that still call it the MRF and update it only every 12 hours out to 10 days.

Oh, and that 00Z "MRF" you were looking at dropped the idea of a never-ending Larry on the 06Z run.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... amer.shtml

[vbhoutex]

Yep it does show the remnants of Larry into S TX at 384 hrs, and remnants only, not even a storm from from what I see.

What I find of much more interest is the disturbance(s) coming out of the NW Carribean while Larry just lounges in the BOC for almost 2 weeks!! The first one heads for SOGGY S FL and the other the mid Gulf coast. Anybody want to start speculation on those?