SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 30, 2003 7:16 pm

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 0006.shtml?

No TD tonight because the front is still hindering development but interests in the area have to monitor it.

#2 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Sep 30, 2003 7:37 pm

The question is where would it go if it forms into a tropical cyclone but I think the models will come out with their projections and we will see.

#3 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Tue Sep 30, 2003 7:46 pm

Appears as though steering would push Larry toward the east, but how far NE is the big question, IMHO.

Stormsfury · #4 Postby **Stormsfury** » Tue Sep 30, 2003 7:53 pm

IMO, it's a good thing that there are a lot of factors AGAINST that disturbed area in the BOC. Especially AFTER looking at the Potential Maximum winds (knots) and minimum pressure (mb) maps. (Remember, the values set are 95% never realized ... Isabel was an exception ...)

http://grads.iges.org/pix/atlpot.gif

Several factors are definitely keeping the system at bay... for now.

SF

#5 Postby **vbhoutex** » Tue Sep 30, 2003 9:05 pm

Stormsfury wrote:IMO, it's a good thing that there are a lot of factors AGAINST that disturbed area in the BOC. Especially AFTER looking at the Potential Maximum winds (knots) and minimum pressure (mb) maps. (Remember, the values set are 95% never realized ... Isabel was an exception ...)

http://grads.iges.org/pix/atlpot.gif

Several factors are definitely keeping the system at bay... for now.

SF

NO KIDDING SF!!! I HOPE IT CONTINUES TO BE HINDERED!!!!!

Scott_inVA · #6 Postby **Scott_inVA** » Tue Sep 30, 2003 9:20 pm

Map updated with 0Z tropicals.

Scott

SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

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