ChaserUK needs Help - The UK Blob

[ChaserUK]

Hello Guys! To the south of the UK at present we have a rather interesting development. What we cannot work out is whether this thing has tropical characteristics. What is more important is the shape, location and general feel about the situation compared to the Great October Storm in 1987. Not being all that familiar (yet I might add) about the developmental stages of this systems (more used to local recent mesoscale stuff), I wondered if anyone else could offer an opinion.

Here are a couple of links which may help fill you in...

http://www.met-office.gov.uk/education/ ... /1987.html

and this is now...

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/wz/pics/brack0.gif

Sat and frontal analysis...

http://ows.public.sembach.af.mil/GifIma ... atanal.gif

Indeed, any expert opinion would be very much appreciated!

Warm Regards

ChaserUK

[stu]

Hi Matt,

Here is a little more info - a GFS precip loop for NW Europe.

http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/avnanim4.gif

I dont think that this one will do the business. bit I do note that the centere has dropped to 994mb in the 18z plot
http://meteonet.nl/aktueel/brackall.htm

I am sticking by my forecast of a real tank of an Atlantic depression to cross NW Europe around the last 2 week of October

Keep your eye on that Icelantic low by Thursday - it is going to be cold over the UK Saturday.

Err should this be in world weather ??

[ChaserUK]

LOL - yea Stu it probably should be! I do hope that forecast of yours comes off! - If it does we will have to meet up and go and take a look yep?