Juan Weakening Fast - Moving Inland

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wxman57
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Juan Weakening Fast - Moving Inland

#1 Postby wxman57 » Sun Sep 28, 2003 9:40 pm

Juan's center is right on the coast of Nova Scotia not far from Halifax now. Below are the latest obs from Halifax. Max wind so far 25 kts gusting 41 kts. NHC is just estimating that winds are still just over hurricane force, mostly as a precaution. Over such cold water, it is weakening fast. Good thing for Halifax...

CYHZ| |290200|68.0F|66.0F|94.0%|100|025|041|29.67|999|OVC|Heavy Rain , Mist
CYHZ|SP|290133|999.0F|999.0F|999.0%|100|025|037|2147483647.00|999|OVC|Heavy Rain , Mist
CYHZ|SP|290120|999.0F|999.0F|999.0%|110|022|035|2147483647.00|999|OVC|Rain , Mist
CYHZ| |290100|68.0F|66.0F|94.0%|100|025|035|29.80|999|OVC|Light Rain , Mist
CYHZ| |290000|68.0F|64.0F|88.3%|120|024|032|29.87|999|OVC|
CYHZ| |282300|68.0F|64.0F|88.3%|110|021|028|29.91|999|OVC|Mist
CYHZ|SP|282220|999.0F|999.0F|999.0%|110|021|026|2147483647.00|999|OVC|Mist
CYHZ| |282216|999.0F|999.0F|999.0%|000|000|000|2147483647.00|999||
CYHZ| |282200|68.0F|64.0F|88.3%|110|018|027|29.93|999|OVC|Light Shower(s) Rain , Mist
CYHZ|SP|282149|999.0F|999.0F|999.0%|120|018|026|2147483647.00|999|OVC|Light Shower(s) Rain , Mist
CYHZ| |282100|68.0F|64.0F|88.3%|120|018|025|29.96|999|OVC|
CYHZ| |282000|68.0F|64.0F|88.3%|120|016|027|29.99|999|OVC|
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New Ob

#2 Postby wxman57 » Sun Sep 28, 2003 10:02 pm

Latest ob now has 35 kts gusting 50kts. Wind is due east, indicating center just to the south of the city.

SPECI CYHZ 290236Z 09035G50KT 1 1/2SM +RA BR OVC012 RMK NS8
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#3 Postby wxman57 » Sun Sep 28, 2003 10:38 pm

Winds ESE 50 gusting 60 now...

SPECI CYHZ 290332Z 10050G60KT 1/2SM +RA FG OVC005

SPECI CYHZ 290322Z 10045G60KT 3/4SM +RA BR OVC007
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#4 Postby PTrackerLA » Sun Sep 28, 2003 10:48 pm

Good thing that Juan has weakened so much but there will likely be some damage with the winds gusting to near hurricane force. How often is Nova Scotia affected by storms?
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#5 Postby bahamaswx » Sun Sep 28, 2003 10:53 pm

Actually I was just looking at some historic tracks and it doesn't seem like it's very rare for Nova Scotia to see Tropical Storms. Hurricanes, however, seem quite rare. I believe Juan is supposed to be the worst since Hurricane Ginny (1963)... Cat2.
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#6 Postby PTrackerLA » Sun Sep 28, 2003 11:01 pm

It's amazing that hurricanes can travel that far north, you'd think it would be going over Icebergs by now lol.
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#7 Postby JetMaxx » Mon Sep 29, 2003 12:00 am

I just saw a report on the Canadian Wx Bureau site of winds at Halifax sustained at 56 mph, gusting to 86 mph (90 kph, gusting to 137 kilometers per hour); also a newswire report that 96 mph gusts were reported earlier in downtown Halifax along with buildings damaged and widespread power outages.
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#8 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Sep 29, 2003 1:38 am

There have been a number of tropical storms and hurricanes to make it north of 42.0ºN over the years.

Tropical cyclones usually, if not always accelerate northward.

I used to live a few miles south of the 42.0ºN latitude line and experienced Hurricane Gloria (1985), Tropical Storm Henri (1985) and Hurricane Bob (1991), Floyd (as a tropical storm) in 1999 plus the northern portions of others over the years.
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Obs

#9 Postby wxman57 » Mon Sep 29, 2003 6:12 am

Here are the overnight obs from Halifax. The highest sustained wind reported was 54kts (62 mph) with gusts 77 kts (89 mph):

CYHZ 291000Z 17013KT 1/4SM -SHRA FG OVC001 19/19 A2983 RMK SF8 SLP102=

CYHZ 290900Z 19015G24KT 1SM -SHRA BR OVC002 19/19 A2981 RMK SF8 SLP095

CYHZ 290800Z 20017G25KT 1 1/2SM -SHRA BR OVC004 19/19 A2978 RMK SF8 SLP084

SPECI CYHZ 290734Z 20019G28KT 1 1/2SM -SHRA BR OVC004 RMK SF8

CYHZ 290700Z 20023G32KT 2SM -DZ BR OVC004 20/19 A2973 RMK SF8
SLP065=

CYHZ 290600Z 20027G40KT 8SM OVC007 20/19 A2961 RMK SF8 PRESRR
CIG RGD /R38/ SLP026

CYHZ 290500Z 18040G55KT 2SM BR OVC005 20/20 A2933 RMK NS8 CIG RGD SLP932

SPECI CYHZ 290437Z 18041G58KT 1 1/2SM -RA BR OVC004 RMK NS8 RERA CIG RGD

CYHZ 290413Z 15043G77KT 1/2SM RA FG SQ OVC002 RMK NS8 CIG RGD

CYHZ 290407Z 14049G74KT 3/4SM RA BR SQ OVC003 RMK NS8 CIG RGD

CYHZ 290404Z 14054G74KT 3/4SM +TSRA BR SQ OVC005CB RMK CB8 CIG RGD

CYHZ 290400Z 14046G64KT 1/2SM R15/3500FT/N R24/2600V4500FT/U +TSRA FG SQ OVC006CB 20/20 A2916 RMK CB8 PRESFR CIG RGD /R36/
SLP874=

CYHZ 290344Z 12045G67KT 1/2SM R15/2600FT/U R24/1400V2400FT/U +RA FG SQ OVC007 RMK NS8 CIG RGD=

CYHZ 290340Z 11050G67KT 1/2SM R15/2400FT/N R24/1600FT/N +RA FG SQ OVC004 RMK NS8 CIG RGD=
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