http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... BNT20.KNHC
Also this outlook includes the wave south of Hispanola.
11:30 AM TWO from TPC=Recon Cancelled for today
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cycloneye
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11:30 AM TWO from TPC=Recon Cancelled for today
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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WeatherEmperor
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wx247
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It is a wait and see game on this one I guess. I am still keeping an eye on it.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Josephine96
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Dean4Storms
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Most of the models seem to be splitting the disturbance in the west Carib. They seem to want to develop a closed low and turn it toward SW FL. but also develop another low sitting back in the BOC come the end of the week. The low that is expected to head toward SW FL will struggle with strong westerlies and little time to develop before landfall, don't expect much at this point.
With the strong CONUS trough expected to drop well down into the GOM it should preclude anything from heading northward this week. But long range the flow come next weekend comes back around from the south as the ridge slips to the east. Anything sitting down in the BOC come late week would be a significant threat around the 6th of Oct. to the northern Gulf coast. It bothers me that most of the models are indicating low pressures and disturbed weather down there most of the week. We will have to watch and see what unfolds.
With the strong CONUS trough expected to drop well down into the GOM it should preclude anything from heading northward this week. But long range the flow come next weekend comes back around from the south as the ridge slips to the east. Anything sitting down in the BOC come late week would be a significant threat around the 6th of Oct. to the northern Gulf coast. It bothers me that most of the models are indicating low pressures and disturbed weather down there most of the week. We will have to watch and see what unfolds.
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Dean4Storms
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Dean4Storms wrote:Most of the models seem to be splitting the disturbance in the west Carib. They seem to want to develop a closed low and turn it toward SW FL. but also develop another low sitting back in the BOC come the end of the week. The low that is expected to head toward SW FL will struggle with strong westerlies and little time to develop before landfall, don't expect much at this point.
With the strong CONUS trough expected to drop well down into the GOM it should preclude anything from heading northward this week. But long range the flow come next weekend comes back around from the south as the ridge slips to the east. Anything sitting down in the BOC come late week would be a significant threat around the 6th of Oct. to the northern Gulf coast. It bothers me that most of the models are indicating low pressures and disturbed weather down there most of the week. We will have to watch and see what unfolds.
Hey Derecho, can you sincerly read the date and my synopsis?
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My opinion and statements DO NOT represent the opinion of the EMA, NHC, NWS, or any other professional agency, organization, or group. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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