18Z GFS run ....... should you want to frighten Floridians..

[WeatherNole]

...and maybe all of the east coast.

**NOTE** Don't put much stock in these forecasts. The accuracy beyond 10 days (240 hrs) is not terribly impressive. I just thought some might like to see the latest doomsday outlook.

First - from 252 hours out through 288 hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer//gfs/18/gfs_slp252288_l.shtml

Then, from 300-336 hrs:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer//gfs/18/gfs_slp300336_l.shtml

And, finally, from 248-384 hrs:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer//gfs/18/gfs_slp348384_l.shtml

Personally, I'm telling my viewers to wait until at least the weekend to get a better handle on Isabel's threat to the U.S.

Mike

[Rainband]

gfs?????

[bkhusky2]

GFS is skipping around from run to run, should be discarded as of now, IMO.

[dixiebreeze]

This scenario wouldn't surprise me in the least.

[ChrisFSUWxStudent]

Hey WeatherNole, good to see ya on this board! As one of your "viewers", I was happy to see your nickname pop up on this board, recognizing it from Warchant! I'm LilNoles2002 over there (don't post much, though). It's nice having more 'Noles over here. Interesting week ahead, eh? I know one thing; right now I feel better living in Tally than on the E. FL coast. That could always change, though.



Chris
Oh, btw, how does Saturday look for the GT game?

[WeatherNole]

Oh, btw, how does Saturday look for the GT game?

So far so good. Each model run slows down the approaching trough and front for the weekend. I left the PoPs at 30% - mainly afternoon stuff. With an 8pm kickoff we should be fine.

(Of course, I was getting some dirty looks this past Saturday night at Doak when that light rain started. )

Good to see some fellow Noles here!

Mike

[CocoaBill]

Miami to Hatteras -- be on the watch!

[Stormcenter]

Everyone should be on alert from the Texas coast to the upper East coast.
Nothing is written in stone and probably won't be for a good while as to where Isabelle will make her FIRST landfall.