When will Bill form?
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cycloneye
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When will Bill form?
Simple question for this poll that will close for voting on June 6 at 9:50 AM EDT.
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Re: When will Bill form?
I put June 11-20th, which is when the MJO will pass through the Caribbean and have a chance of sparking some TC development.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Shell Mound
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Re: When will Bill form?
18 June in the western MDR, à la Bret (2017)
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CVW / MiamiensisWx / Shell Mound
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DorkyMcDorkface
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Re: When will Bill form?
Jumping on the June 11-20 bandwagon. CAG development.
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CyclonicFury
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Re: When will Bill form?
June 22nd, western Gulf of Mexico
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
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ouragans
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Re: When will Bill form?
Between June 11th and 20th as well
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Stormybajan
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Re: When will Bill form?
June 11-20th for me in the Western Caribbean
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Sad West Indies and Manchester United fan ⚽️
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cycloneye
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Re: When will Bill form?
Those members that have not voted in this poll come and do so before it closes on June 6 at 9:50 AM EDT.
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tolakram
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Re: When will Bill form?
I'm on the June 11th to 20th bandwagon.
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M a r k
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Re: When will Bill form?
Sometime in June, thinking 3rd week, but keep an eye on the Bahamas. The decaying front is causing showers and thunderstorms. Low chance but something brewing there isn’t out of the question.
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captainbarbossa19
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Re: When will Bill form?
wxman57 wrote:Looks like I'm the only one to vote "August". I can hope...
I am hoping for this as well with lots of shear and dry air to kill the storms that do form this year. Sadly, I voted June 11-20 because most indications are not towards a quieter season right now. Hopefully they are wrong! We need a break.
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HurricaneEnzo
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Re: When will Bill form?
June 13th. CAG system. 
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Bertha 96' - Fran 96' - Bonnie 98' - Dennis 99' - Floyd 99' - Isabel 03' - Alex 04' - Ophelia 05' - Irene 11' - Arthur 14' - Matthew 16' - Florence 18' - Dorian 19' - Isaias 20' (countless other tropical storms and Hurricane swipes)
I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Get your weather forecasts from the Pros!
I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Get your weather forecasts from the Pros!
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AutoPenalti
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Re: When will Bill form?
June 11-20, CAG soupfest.
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Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
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GSBHurricane
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Re: When will Bill form?
Picked July 21-31 because that was the only option left without a vote and I wanted to throw that a bone.
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CyclonicFury
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Re: When will Bill form?
The 73% that predicted June 11-20 were right...but it wasn't in the Caribbean or Gulf!
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.
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