When will we see Bret?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply

When will Bret form?

June 5th-June 15th
3
6%
June 16th-June 30th
31
60%
July 1st-July 10th
9
17%
July 10th-July 20th
4
8%
July 20th- July 31st
1
2%
August or beyond
4
8%
 
Total votes: 52
Message
Author
TheStormExpert

When will we see Bret?

#1 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Jun 05, 2017 6:44 am

With our first named storm Arlene happening quite awhile ago back in late April the question now is when might we see our next named storm Bret?

I'll start the poll and go with late June between the 16th-30th in the Western Caribbean.

If a moderator could turn this into a poll that would be appreciated.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
tarheelprogrammer
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1793
Joined: Mon Mar 28, 2016 9:25 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC area (Garner, NC)

Re: When will we see Bret?

#2 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Mon Jun 05, 2017 8:33 am

June 25th
0 likes   
My posts are not official forecasts. They are just my opinion and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22785
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: When will we see Bret?

#3 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jun 05, 2017 8:42 am

Poll added
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
 Help Support Storm2K
Top
User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22979
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: When will we see Bret?

#4 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jun 05, 2017 9:07 am

August and beyond!
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22785
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: When will we see Bret?

#5 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jun 05, 2017 10:23 am

I voted July 1st to 10th. There always seems to be some kind of a threat to ruin July 4th holiday, I'm thinking something in the area from Florida east coast up to Carolina coasts..
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K

Top
TheStormExpert

Re: When will we see Bret?

#6 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Jun 05, 2017 10:24 am

wxman57 wrote:August and beyond!

Really? Why do you think that?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7351
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

Re: When will we see Bret?

#7 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Jun 05, 2017 10:31 am

TheStormExpert wrote:
wxman57 wrote:August and beyond!

Really? Why do you think that?

He's joking
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22785
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: When will we see Bret?

#8 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jun 05, 2017 10:34 am

Hurricaneman wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:
wxman57 wrote:August and beyond!

Really? Why do you think that?

He's joking


I think he's serious, he may have voted for it after he made the post, though I'm not certain.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K

Top
User avatar
tarheelprogrammer
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1793
Joined: Mon Mar 28, 2016 9:25 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC area (Garner, NC)

Re: When will we see Bret?

#9 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Mon Jun 05, 2017 10:39 am

wxman57 wrote:August and beyond!


So, you are leaning toward a quiet season? :?:
0 likes   
My posts are not official forecasts. They are just my opinion and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
dexterlabio
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3468
Joined: Sat Oct 24, 2009 11:50 pm

Re: When will we see Bret?

#10 Postby dexterlabio » Mon Jun 05, 2017 10:47 am

Me thinking the next Atlantic storm will form before June ends and threaten landmass on the first few days of July. In general I believe we're gonna see the Atlantic getting really active earlier than the previous seasons.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22979
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: When will we see Bret?

#11 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jun 05, 2017 10:55 am

Bret in 1993 and 1999 occurred in August. Why not Bret of 2017? Forgot to input my season numbers in that thread, but I'm thinking 16/8/4.
5 likes   
Top
User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10163
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: When will we see Bret?

#12 Postby SFLcane » Mon Jun 05, 2017 10:59 am

wxman57 wrote:Bret in 1993 and 1999 occurred in August. Why not Bret of 2017? Forgot to input my season numbers in that thread, but I'm thinking 16/8/4.


Pretty active season there 57.. me likes! Here is to some interesting storms i.e. long track Bonified majors.
1 likes   
Top
TheStormExpert

Re: When will we see Bret?

#13 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Jun 05, 2017 11:33 am

wxman57 wrote:Bret in 1993 and 1999 occurred in August. Why not Bret of 2017? Forgot to input my season numbers in that thread, but I'm thinking 16/8/4.

Same exact numbers as me! :lol:

Yes just cause we have a quiet or dead first two months of the season doesn't mean it won't be quite active come August and beyond. Take 2004 for example where Alex didn't form until the beginning of August and the numbers were 15/9/6.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Kazmit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2124
Age: 22
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
Location: Williamsburg, VA / Bermuda

Re: When will we see Bret?

#14 Postby Kazmit » Mon Jun 05, 2017 11:38 am

July 1st - 10th. I don't really see anything happening in the near future.
0 likes   
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019

I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Hammy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5849
Age: 41
Joined: Fri May 25, 2012 5:25 pm
Contact:
Contact Hammy

Re: When will we see Bret?

#15 Postby Hammy » Mon Jun 05, 2017 12:33 pm

I'm thinking mid-July at the earliest--the overly-active CFS is showing basically nothing until August.
0 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
AutoPenalti
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4030
Age: 29
Joined: Mon Aug 17, 2015 4:16 pm
Location: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida

Re: When will we see Bret?

#16 Postby AutoPenalti » Mon Jun 05, 2017 1:54 pm

Late June, early July.


May be our first Cape Verde wave. :wink:
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.


Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Top
User avatar
Hypercane_Kyle
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3352
Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
Location: Cape Canaveral, FL

Re: When will we see Bret?

#17 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Jun 05, 2017 2:04 pm

wxman57 wrote:Bret in 1993 and 1999 occurred in August. Why not Bret of 2017? Forgot to input my season numbers in that thread, but I'm thinking 16/8/4.


Both of those Bret's were bad news too -- Bret in '93 was one of the worst cyclones to hit Venezuela and Bret in '99 nearly hit Texas as a Category 4.
0 likes   
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
Top
User avatar
MGC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5899
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.

Re: When will we see Bret?

#18 Postby MGC » Tue Jun 06, 2017 11:11 am

Hurricaneman wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:
wxman57 wrote:August and beyond!

Really? Why do you think that?

He's joking


No he isn't.....MGC
0 likes   
Top
hurricanehunter69
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 343
Joined: Sun May 16, 2010 5:21 pm
Location: New Orleans

Re: When will we see Bret?

#19 Postby hurricanehunter69 » Tue Jun 06, 2017 6:39 pm

late July. Lookin like a slow start to me. Should've adjusted my overall numbers down a tad.
1 likes   
Top
TheStormExpert

Re: When will we see Bret?

#20 Postby TheStormExpert » Tue Jun 06, 2017 7:11 pm

hurricanehunter69 wrote:late July. Lookin like a slow start to me. Should've adjusted my overall numbers down a tad.

Slow start doesn't necessarily mean a slow or dead season.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Cdenton12, IsabelaWeather, rolltide, StormWeather, Stratton23, TheBurn and 60 guests