Tropical Wave east of Lesser Antilles

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 301748
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
205 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

Tropical wave in the east Tropical Atlantic extends along 28W
from 10N-20N moving west-northwest 5 to 10 kt over the past 24
hours. Wave is in the vicinity of a broad 700 mb trough and a
surge of moisture. Clusters of scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection are within 90 nm of line from 17N27W to
14N34W.

[colbroe]

This wave now has 1010 low attached to it.

[Kazmit]

It has to develop first, but another Bermuda storm?

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 011002
TWDAT


A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from a 1010 mb
low near 13N34W to 20N33W, moving W at 15-20 kt over the past 24
hours. The wave is in a region of favorable deep layer wind shear
and in a region of middle level diffluence. However, the TPW and
CIRA LPW imagery show dry air intrusion W of the wave axis.
Meteosat enhanced imagery confirm the presence of Saharan dry air
and dust in the wave environment, which is inhibiting convection
at the time.

[abajan]

The LOW can be clearly seen here:



(It's in the far right of the image, west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, not to be confused with the area hundreds of miles to its west-northwest which the latest TWO mentions.)

[Gustywind]

The LOW can be clearly seen here:



(It's in the far right of the image, west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, not to be confused with the area hundreds of miles to its west-northwest which the latest TWO mentions.)

Yes Abajan, that's it that's why i've open a thread on this one. Don't know what the models do with this one? Anyway, we should keep an eye on this too as upper levels winds do not seem to strong even if dry is surronding "for now "the twave in periphery. Let's wait and see what could happens.

[Gustywind]

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
205 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from a 1011
mb low near 13N36W to 20N35W, moving W at 15-20 kt over the past
24 hours. The wave is in a moist region as depicted in the total
precipitable water imagery,however, Saharan dry air and dust is
just west of the wave environment. Scattered showers are within
60 nm of the wave axis.

[terstorm1012]

is this the one being developed as Nicole or is that Pouch 41L?

[abajan]

is this the one being developed as Nicole or is that Pouch 41L?

I don't know, but this one now has a more convection than yesterday.

[HurricaneFan]

Is the moisture in the Leeward Islands on Thursday and Friday on the 06Z GFS from this Tropical Wave?

[Gustywind]

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
651 AM EDT MON OCT 3 2016

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic extending from 09N to
17N with an associated 1010 mb low centered near 11N42W. Both the
wave axis and the low center has been moving W at 10 kt over the
past 24 hours. Upper level diffluence and abundant low level
moisture in the wave environment as seen in CIRA LPW support
scattered showers within 120 nm either side of its axis.

[Gustywind]

Given our Pro Mets of Meteo-France, this twave is forecasted to be very active in the Leewards beginning Wednesday night till Friday. Numerous strong showers and tstorms with gusts at 60km/h are alreday expected. We have to wait and see what could really happens with this one. We will see, we keep a small eye on this one. If i've more infos i will keep you informed.

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 040016 AAB
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion...UPDATED
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
816 PM EDT MON OCT 3 2016

...TROPICAL WAVES...
Tropical wave extends from 05N49N to 14N45W moving W at 10-15 kt.
The wave coincides with subtle 700 mb troughing S of 14N between
42W-51W. Scattered moderate convection is from 07N-18N between
38W-51W.

[abajan]

Convection definitely on the increase tonight:

[CaribJam]

What is the potential of this twave? Is there a low attached to it? I noticed that it is moving westward... we don't really want any more systems in the Caribbean for a while.

[Medtronic15]

Hmmmmm!

[CaribJam]

Really! Is that at your doorstep?

The convection has been increasing. We need to watch it carefully. Thanks for the response.

[mrbagyo]

wow, another interesting Tropical wave. Convection is on the increase and its kinda huge.
Probably a potential rain event for the leewards.

[abajan]

Convection continues to bloom this morning:



Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
205 AM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0515 UTC. ...

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Tropical wave extends from 13N44W to 5N50W moving west 5 to 10
kt over the past 24 hours. Wave is moving through an area
between two upper ridges enhancing clusters of scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection that covers the area from
7N-16N between 40W-56W ...

[Gustywind]

Convection continues to bloom this morning:



Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
205 AM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0515 UTC. ...

...TROPICAL WAVES...

Tropical wave extends from 13N44W to 5N50W moving west 5 to 10
kt over the past 24 hours. Wave is moving through an area
between two upper ridges enhancing clusters of scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection that covers the area from
7N-16N between 40W-56W ...

Yeah man! That's why a make a focus on this one like you Abajan. Given our Pro Mets of Meteo-France strong showers and even tstorms are expected on both islands Martinica and Guadeloupe beginning Wednesday night.